Campbell at Florida
Fan take
Campbell fans
Florida fans
How they got here
Last two games
Campbell · 2-0
Picked #239 in the preseason · now #219 — better than expected.
Two straight wins, capped by a 9-point win over Western Carolina as a 4-point underdog.
W 28–19 vs Western Carolina #201 of 669
won by 9 as a 4-point underdog
W 49–37 @ East Tennessee State #190 of 669
won by 12 as a 7-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Florida · 4-8
Picked #22 in the preseason · now #29 — about right.
1-2 in its last three, capped by a 19-point win over Florida State as a 1-point underdog.
W 40–21 vs Florida StateTop 25 #52 of 668
won by 19 as a 1-point underdog
L 11–31 vs TennesseeTop 25 #13 of 668
lost by 20 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 24–34 @ Ole MissTop 25 #9 of 668
lost by 10 as a 11.5-point underdog
L 7–38 @ Kentucky #57 of 668
lost by 31 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 20–24 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 4 as a 7-point underdog
W 23–21 vs Mississippi State #64 of 668
won by 2 as a 9.5-point favorite
L 17–34 @ Texas A&MTop 25 #10 of 668
lost by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 29–21 vs TexasTop 25 #9 of 668
won by 8 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 7–26 @ MiamiTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 19 as a 8.5-point underdog
L 10–20 @ LSUTop 25 #8 of 668
lost by 10 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 16–18 vs South FloridaTop 25 #13 of 668
lost by 2 as a 18.5-point favorite
W 55–0 vs Long Island University #136 of 668
won by 55 as a 47-point favorite
What’s at stake
Campbell
- Campbell needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Campbell is still shaking off a 49-point loss.
Florida
- Florida is ranked #25, right on the edge of the Top 25.
- Florida is coming off a 49-point win.
The series
Florida leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Florida won the last meeting
- 2026Florida 52–3
Best players
Florida
- Jadan Baugh (RB) · 296 rushing yards — Heisman odds: 64th (+15000)
- Myles Graham (LB) · 17 tackles
- Vernell Brown III (WR) · 160 receiving yards
The line, and the room
The model and the market are in lockstep on Florida’s chances here.
Home −51.5 · O/U 66.5
Conditions
81°F · 6 mph wind · Light Rain
Florida is worth +5.6 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 75th percentile.
71% at home, 43% on the road against FBS opponents (30–12 home, 15–20 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.7 at home vs. away over 67 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 450 miles to get here.
Campbell 3 – Florida 52
Called it — picked Florida to win.
Recent games
Florida
- Wk 1Wvs Florida Atlantic66-21
Campbell
- Wk 1Wat East Tennessee State49-37
- Wk 1Wvs Western Carolina28-19
Trajectory
Florida handled Campbell 52-3, matching the pregame favorite.