cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Anthony Evans III /Mississippi State

Anthony Evans III

WR · Mississippi State · Jr · #3

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Anthony Evans III arrives at Mississippi State with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

831REC YDS67REC4REC TD
Read the story so far

He lines up at WR for Mississippi State.

On the field, the headline is 831 rec yds, with 67 rec.

How many games until Ayden Williams (4★) takes the job from Anthony Evans III?

The clock is the open loop — and it is already ticking.

WR successioncontinuity
  • Pushed byAyden Williams 4★
  • How many games until Ayden Williams (4★) takes the job from Anthony Evans III?
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Mississippi State

Returning around him

  • 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Mississippi State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (27 in / 40 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Mississippi State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #24 · 2026 recruiting class #28

WR · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC

Anthony Evans III

  • 3
  • #3
  • 5-11 | 180 lb
  • Converse, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

69

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#828

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
35.02023
88.02024
8312025

+2274%

Up 2274% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements5-11 | 180 lb
HometownConverse, TX
Primary teamMississippi State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Mississippi State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 15, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Georgia -> Mississippi State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#828Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#750Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Anthony Evans III

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

100

Grounded Optimism

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +100 · "LSU baseball finally gets some much-needed good news as Jay Johnson lands a mass"Own fansNational: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "[Source](https://www.on3.com/news/texas-am-defensive-lineman-dealyn-evans-commit"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Anthony Evans III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

831

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #55 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 90th

Why it matters

#55 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 831 yards on 67 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 831 (90th)

HIGH · n=67 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#265 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 10 at Arkansas — 111 receiving_yards_total

Result W 38-35

The week the volume broke through — put up 111 yds at Arkansas.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
831Rec yards
67Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
69.2Rec yards
6Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
900.2Rec yards
73Receptions
4Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 831.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 831): needs 169/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 67.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 67): needs 13/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Anthony Evans III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Mississippi State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #828 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 67 4 rec TD | #29/1110 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 831 12.4 per catch | #58/1107 (95th pct)
Scrimmage yards 878 Total offensive yardage | #58/1107 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
67 97th
YDS
831 95th
YPR
12.4 55th
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
7 84th
YDS
47 85th
YPC
6.7 73rd
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
16 20th
KR AVG
16.0 31st
PR YDS
134 82nd
PR AVG
13.4 86th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-17@ Southern Miss4369.0019
Wk 2W 24-20vs Arizona State910812.0148
Wk 3W 63-0vs Alcorn State46616.5134
Wk 4W 38-10vs Northern Illinois48020.0057
Wk 5L 34-41vs Tennessee5336.6021
Wk 6L 9-31@ Texas A&M5418.2011
Wk 8L 21-23@ Florida111079.7048
Wk 9L 38-45vs Texas57114.2026
Wk 10W 38-35@ Arkansas511122.2245Season-high 111 yds
Wk 11L 21-41vs Georgia4276.8019
Wk 12L 27-49@ Missouri77110.1038
BowlL 29-43vs Wake Forest48020.0039
Total6783112.9457
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Georgia13-1HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2024Georgia11-3HC: Kirby Smart · Pass-leaning
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Mississippi State6783112.44--
2024Georgia9889.80--
2023Georgia4358.81--
Career3 loaded seasons8095411.95--
SeasonTeam
2025Mississippi State74716134--
2024Georgia350124129--
2023Georgia12--55--
Career3 loaded seasons1199140318--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 10.6% 21.9% pass-game share | #62/1137 (95th pct)
Return yards 150 0 return TD | #192/238 (20th pct)
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 67 #29/1110 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 831 #58/1107 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.4 #504/1106 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 16 #192/238 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 134 #42/224 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 21.9% #62/1137 95th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 47 #62/397 85th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 17 #88/346 75th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 7 #65/407 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 6.7 #108/393 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 57 #198/1105 82nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 16.0 #164/236 31st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 13.4 #33/222 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 10 #65/237 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.7% #104/1137 91st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.8% #140/1137 88th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 10.7% #72/1137 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 10.6% #74/1137 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 10.0% #65/1137 94th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.8% #125/1137 89th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.6% #133/1137 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g5.066.413.70.3
Road5g6.473.211.80.4

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g5.280.215.90.8
Losses7g5.961.410.80.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.063.413.20.3
Weeks 8+5g6.477.412.60.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

69Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (94th). Strength: rec yards (89th).

Receptions#29 / 558 · 95th pct
67rece
Rec yards#58 / 558 · 90th pct
831rece
Rush yards#56 / 287 · 80th pct
47rush
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Long catch#177 / 558 · 68th pct
57rece
Yards / catch#309 / 558 · 44th pct
12.4rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Anthony Evans IIIMississippi StateRyan DavisUtah· 95% simSean WilsonDelaware· 93% simChris BellLouisville· 91% sim
Receptions
95
III
91
Davis
94
Wilson
97
Bell
Rec yards
90
III
83
Davis
91
Wilson
93
Bell
Rush yards
80
III
Rec TDs
68
III
68
Davis
57
Wilson
87
Bell
Long catch
68
III
67
Davis
58
Wilson
77
Bell
Yards / catch
44
III
36
Davis
49
Wilson
47
Bell
Rush TDs
39
III
Fumbles lost
36
III
36
Davis
36
Wilson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Parker Kingston’s 2025 season.

Parker Kingston

86%match

BYU · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

Jalon Calhoun

Duke · 2022

All-ACC
85%
#3

Kevin Coleman Jr.

Missouri · 2025

82%
#4

Nikko Remigio

Fresno State · 2022

All-Mountain West
82%
#5

Jacob Cowing

UTEP · 2020

All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
77%

Matches Parker on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ryan Davis’s path through Utah.

Ryan Davis

99%match

Utah · 2025

#2

Joshua Harris

Furman · 2024

98%
#3

Hunter Long

Boston College · 2020

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 18
98%
#4

Blair Conwright

North Texas · 2024

97%
#5

Kobe Prentice

Baylor · 2025

94%

Matches Ryan on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Simpson's junior season at Massachusetts (2023).

Anthony Simpson

80%match

Massachusetts · 2023

#2

Kevin Coleman Jr.

Missouri · 2025

78%
#3

Jordan Faison

Notre Dame · 2025

77%
#4

Cayden Lee

Ole Miss · 2025

74%
#5

Jeremy Singleton

Georgia Southern · 2022

74%

Matches Anthony on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Anthony on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Lebby

Pass share

41.8%

390 pass / 543 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Greg Knox
Mississippi State
2024
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
era →
2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State

Coaching transition mid-career: Greg Knox → Jeff Lebby. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownConverse, TX
Height5'11"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia WR3 #828 #750 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Georgia WR3 #1313 #910 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Mississippi State SEC WR 3 No. 3 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Converse, TX
2024 Georgia SEC WR 3 No. 3 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Converse, TX
2023 Georgia SEC WR 3 No. 3 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Converse, TX