cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Amari Niblack /Texas A&M

Amari Niblack

TE · Texas A&M · Sr · #84

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

69 REC YDS · 5 REC · 0 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Texas A&M)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Texas A&M
DestinationTBD

TE · TEXAS A&M · SEC

Amari Niblack

  • 4
  • #84
  • 6-3 | 235 lb
  • St. Petersburg, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

21

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1001

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
15.02022
3272023
33.02024
69.02025

+360%

Up 360% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#146 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey84
Measurements6-3 | 235 lb
HometownSt. Petersburg, FL
Primary teamTexas A&M

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 146 recruit
Composite rating 0.9416 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2022
Origin Lakewood Clearwater, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9416 No. 146 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 28, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Texas A&M -> -- 4-star | Immediate
2025 Texas -> Texas A&M 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2024 Alabama -> Texas 4-star | 0.9300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1001Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#761Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9416

#146 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Amari Niblack

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Amari Niblack

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
69Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
17.2Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
224.2Rec yards
16Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 69): needs 70.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 69): needs 103.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 5): needs 6.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 5): needs 8.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Amari Niblack's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas A&M, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1001 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 146 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 5 0 rec TD | #264/475 (45th pct)
Receiving yards 69 13.8 per catch | #235/475 (51st pct)
Scrimmage yards 69 Total offensive yardage | #235/475 (51st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
5 45th
YDS
69 51st
YPR
13.8 85th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs UTSA12323.0023Season-high 23 yds
Wk 5W 16-10vs Auburn12323.0023
Wk 7W 34-17vs Florida2199.5013
Wk 11W 38-17@ Missouri144.004
Total56914.9023
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Alabama11-2HC: Nick Saban · Balanced
2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy
2024Texas13-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Texas A&M56913.80--
2024Texas5336.60--
2023Alabama2032716.44--
2022Alabama11515.01--
Career4 loaded seasons3144414.35--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.6% 3.6% pass-game share | #369/468 (21st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 5 #264/475 45th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 69 #235/475 51st pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 13.8 #70/475 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 3.6% #369/468 21st pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 23 #215/475 55th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 2.6% #266/468 43rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.9% #304/468 35th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 1.6% #385/468 18th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 1.6% #382/468 19th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 1.3% #365/468 22nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #400/468 15th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g1.321.718.50.0
Road1g1.04.04.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.217.214.90.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.321.718.50.0
Weeks 8+1g1.04.04.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

21Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (88th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#20 / 175 · 89th pct
13.8rece
Long catch#148 / 175 · 15th pct
23rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#175 / 175 · 1st pct
69rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Amari NiblackTexas A&MLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 53% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 49% simBryce CaufieldOregon State· 48% sim
Yards / catch
89
Niblack
53
Lindenmeyer
62
DeGraaf
7
Caufield
Long catch
15
Niblack
23
Lindenmeyer
39
DeGraaf
39
Caufield
Rec TDs
7
Niblack
43
Lindenmeyer
43
DeGraaf
21
Caufield
Rec yards
1
Niblack
63
Lindenmeyer
72
DeGraaf
44
Caufield
Receptions
0
Niblack
66
Lindenmeyer
75
DeGraaf
66
Caufield

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Elko

Pass share

45.8%

407 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

68.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

286 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Jimbo Fisher
Texas A&M
2023
Elijah Robinson
Texas A&M
era →
2024
Mike Elko
Texas A&M
era →
2025
Mike Elko
Texas A&M

Played under 3 different head coaches: Jimbo Fisher, Elijah Robinson, and Mike Elko. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSt. Petersburg, FL
Height6'3"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey84

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas TE4 #1001 #761 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Alabama TE4 #260 #219 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Alabama TE4 #1259 #878 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas A&M SEC TE 4 No. 84 | 6-3 | 235 lb | St. Petersburg, FL
2024 Texas SEC TE 4 No. 84 | 6-3 | 235 lb | St. Petersburg, FL
2023 Alabama SEC TE 4 No. 84 | 6-3 | 235 lb | St. Petersburg, FL
2022 Alabama SEC TE 4 No. 84 | 6-3 | 235 lb | St. Petersburg, FL