cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Houston Thomas /UTSA

Houston Thomas

TE · UTSA · Jr · #88

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

347 REC YDS · 34 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · UTSA

Returning around him

  • 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107

TE · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Houston Thomas

  • 3
  • #88
  • 6-5 | 245 lb
  • College Station, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 69th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#949

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

UTSA · TE

2023

UTSA · TE

2024

UTSA · TE

2025

UTSA · TE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
0.02022
1012023
4702024
3472025

+0%

Modest growth (0%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1454 national
CFB
College
UTSA
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey88
Measurements6-5 | 245 lb
HometownCollege Station, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1454 recruit
Composite rating 0.8422 HighSchool
Signed with UTSA 2022
Origin College Station College Station, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8422 No. 1454 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#949Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1497Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (347).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UTSA

Composite

0.8422

#1454 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Houston Thomas

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Houston Thomas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

2

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd

Why it matters

#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 34 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 2 (43th)

HIGH · n=34 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#354 / 531
  • Yards per reception#411 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 8 at North Texas — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 17-55

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at North Texas.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
347Rec yards
34Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
28.9Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
375.9Rec yards
37Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 347): needs 353/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 347): needs 653/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 34): needs 26/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 34): needs 46/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Houston Thomas already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #949 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 34 2 rec TD | #37/475 (92nd pct)
Receiving yards 347 10.2 per catch | #55/475 (89th pct)
Scrimmage yards 347 Total offensive yardage | #55/475 (89th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
34 92nd
YDS
347 89th
YPR
10.2 56th
TD
2 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-42@ Texas A&M22211.0016
Wk 2L 36-43vs Texas State4369.0021
Wk 3W 48-20vs Incarnate Word3268.7018
Wk 4W 17-16@ Colorado State12929.0029
Wk 6L 21-27@ Temple23015.0017
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice122.002
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas22110.5118
Wk 10W 48-26vs Tulane155.005
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida77711.0025Season-high 77 yds
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte45413.5032
Wk 13W 58-24vs East Carolina5357.0111
Wk 14L 24-27vs Army2105.006
Total3434710.6232
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022UTSA11-3HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
2023UTSA9-4HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning
2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA3434710.22--
2024UTSA3447013.83--
2023UTSA910111.20--
2022UTSA1--0.00--
Career4 loaded seasons7891811.85--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.6% 11.0% pass-game share | #70/468 (85th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #79/475 (84th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 34 #37/475 92nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 347 #55/475 89th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #79/475 84th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 10.2 #212/475 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 11.0% #70/468 85th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #122/475 75th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 6.5% #33/468 93rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 5.8% #110/468 77th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 5.6% #64/468 87th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 5.6% #50/468 90th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.2% #146/468 69th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.6% #143/468 70th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.719.06.10.2
Road6g3.038.815.00.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g2.525.210.90.2
Losses6g3.232.710.20.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.224.212.50.0
Weeks 8+6g3.533.78.70.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

56Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Receptions#37 / 175 · 79th pct
34rece
Rec yards#55 / 175 · 69th pct
347rece
Rec TDs#76 / 175 · 43rd pct
2rece
Yards / catch#100 / 175 · 42nd pct
10.2rece
Long catch#100 / 175 · 42nd pct
32rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Houston ThomasUTSADecker DeGraafWashington· 91% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 90% simHunter TiptonMiddle Tennessee· 90% sim
Receptions
79
Thomas
75
DeGraaf
75
Fortenberry
90
Tipton
Rec yards
69
Thomas
72
DeGraaf
58
Fortenberry
81
Tipton
Rec TDs
43
Thomas
43
DeGraaf
43
Fortenberry
43
Tipton
Yards / catch
42
Thomas
62
DeGraaf
26
Fortenberry
47
Tipton
Long catch
42
Thomas
39
DeGraaf
32
Fortenberry
58
Tipton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Gavin Bartholomew’s 2024 season.

Gavin Bartholomew

82%match

Pittsburgh · 2024

NFL Rd 6
#2

Bauer Sharp

Oklahoma · 2024

NFL Rd 6
80%
#3

Anthony Landphere

Memphis · 2023

79%
#4

Johnmichael Gyllenborg

Wyoming · 2025

78%
#5

Tyler Fortenberry

Arkansas State · 2025

77%

Matches Gavin on

Height
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Gavin on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to D.C. Temple's senior season at Central Michigan (2025).

D.C. Temple

74%match

Central Michigan · 2025

#2

Johnmichael Gyllenborg

Wyoming · 2025

72%
#3

TJ Banks

Akron · 2023

69%
#4

David Larkins

App State · 2025

69%
#5

Jaleel Skinner

Louisville · 2025

69%

Matches D.C. on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Recruiting rating

Differs from D.C. on

TD rate (lower)
Reception volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2023
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCollege Station, TX
Height6'5"
Weight245 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey88

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-AAC all_conference UTSA | AAC TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTSA TE3 #949 #1497 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UTSA TE3 #1811 #1791 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 UTSA TE3 #2770 #2393 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic TE 3 No. 88 | 6-5 | 245 lb | College Station, TX
2024 UTSA American Athletic TE 3 No. 88 | 6-5 | 245 lb | College Station, TX
2023 UTSA American Athletic TE 3 No. 88 | 6-5 | 245 lb | College Station, TX
2022 UTSA Conference USA TE 3 No. 88 | 6-5 | 245 lb | College Station, TX