cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Richie Anderson /Fresno State

Richie Anderson

TE · Fresno State · So · #88

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

300 REC YDS · 31 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Fresno State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Fresno State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Fresno State

Returning around him

  • 17% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (13 in / 10 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Fresno State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #90 · 2026 recruiting class #103

TE · FRESNO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Richie Anderson

  • 2
  • #88
  • 6-4 | 255 lb
  • Tualatin, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4403

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1713 national
CFB
College
Fresno State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class2
Jersey88
Measurements6-4 | 255 lb
HometownTualatin, OR
Primary teamFresno State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1713 recruit
Composite rating 0.8381 HighSchool
Signed with Fresno State 2023
Origin Tualatin Tualatin, OR, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8381 No. 1713 recruit | HighSchool | Fresno State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4403Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4408Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (300).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Fresno State

Composite

0.8381

#1713 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Richie Anderson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Richie Anderson

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

3

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th

Why it matters

#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 31 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 3 (58th)

HIGH · n=31 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#393 / 531
  • Yards per reception#435 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 at Hawai'i — 1 receiving_tds

Result W 23-21

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Hawai'i.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
300Rec yards
31Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
27.3Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
354.5Rec yards
37Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 300): needs 200/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 300): needs 350/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 31): needs 14.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 31): needs 24.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Richie Anderson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Fresno State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4403 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 31 3 rec TD | #48/475 (90th pct)
Receiving yards 300 9.7 per catch | #71/475 (85th pct)
Scrimmage yards 300 Total offensive yardage | #71/475 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
31 90th
YDS
300 85th
YPR
9.7 49th
TD
3 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-31@ Kansas2136.5011
Wk 1W 42-14vs Georgia Southern11111.0011
Wk 2W 36-27@ Oregon State22010.0018
Wk 3W 56-7vs Southern12222.0122
Wk 4W 23-21@ Hawai'i2178.5113
Wk 6W 20-17vs Nevada7679.6020
Wk 7L 21-49@ Colorado State67011.7024Season-high 70 yds
Wk 9L 0-23vs San Diego State144.004
Wk 10W 30-7@ Boise State294.505
Wk 13L 17-28vs Utah State5408.0016
BowlW 18-3vs Miami (OH)22713.5125
Total313009.9325
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Fresno State9-4HC: Matt Entz · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Fresno State313009.73--
Career1 loaded season313009.73--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.4% 13.7% pass-game share | #33/468 (93rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 31 #48/475 90th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 300 #71/475 85th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 9.7 #245/475 49th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 13.7% #33/468 93rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 25 #192/475 60th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 8.9% #38/468 92nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.8% #21/468 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.4% #36/468 93rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 5.8% #50/468 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 5.3% #55/468 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.4% #170/468 64th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/55 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.828.511.30.3
Road5g2.825.88.20.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g2.424.711.30.4
Losses4g3.531.87.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-78g2.930.911.60.4
Weeks 8+3g2.717.75.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

54Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (20th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 33 · 74th pct
0fumb
Receptions#48 / 175 · 72nd pct
31rece
Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Rec yards#71 / 175 · 60th pct
300rece
Yards / catch#116 / 175 · 33rd pct
9.7rece
Long catch#138 / 175 · 20th pct
25rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Richie AndersonFresno StateJoshua LongEastern Michigan· 92% simJack VellingMichigan State· 91% simChamon MetayerArizona State· 89% sim
Fumbles lost
74
Anderson
74
Metayer
Receptions
72
Anderson
86
Long
83
Velling
88
Metayer
Rec TDs
66
Anderson
66
Long
66
Velling
80
Metayer
Rec yards
60
Anderson
70
Long
71
Velling
75
Metayer
Yards / catch
33
Anderson
31
Long
39
Velling
37
Metayer
Long catch
20
Anderson
27
Long
32
Velling
27
Metayer

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Neal Johnson’s 2022 season.

Neal Johnson

71%match

Louisiana · 2022

#2

David Martin-Robinson

Temple · 2022

70%
#3

Reed Tyler

Arkansas State · 2020

64%
#4

Dallas Payne

Florida International · 2025

69%
#5

Joel Wilson

Central Michigan · 2021

68%

Matches Neal on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Neal on

Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Tristian Brank's sophomore season at Akron (2021).

Tristian Brank

84%match

Akron · 2021

All-MAC
#2

Niko Hea

Missouri · 2021

78%
#3

Noah Meyers

Western Kentucky · 2025

77%
#4

Decker DeGraaf

Washington · 2025

77%
#5

Nick Muse

South Carolina · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 7
75%

Matches Tristian on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
TD rate

Differs from Tristian on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Entz

Pass share

44.2%

373 pass / 471 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Matt Entz
Fresno State

Played his entire career under Matt Entz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTualatin, OR
Height6'4"
Weight255 lb
Class2
PositionTE
Jersey88

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Fresno State TE2 #4403 #4408 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Fresno State TE2 #4487 #4185 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Fresno State Mountain West TE 2 No. 88 | 6-4 | 255 lb | Tualatin, OR
2024 Fresno State Mountain West TE 2 No. 88 | 6-4 | 255 lb | Tualatin, OR
2023 Fresno State Mountain West TE 2 No. 88 | 6-4 | 255 lb | Tualatin, OR