cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / John Miller /Utah State

John Miller

LB · Utah State · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

118 TACKLES · 8 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Utah State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Utah State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Linebacker · Utah State

Returning around him

  • 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Utah State · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #114 · 2026 recruiting class #87

LB · UTAH STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

John Miller

  • 4
  • 6-1 | 225 lb
  • Tualatin, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

94

Elite in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14790

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#836 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements6-1 | 225 lb
HometownTualatin, OR
Primary teamUtah State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 836 recruit
Composite rating 0.8641 HighSchool
Signed with Oregon State 2020
Origin Tualatin Tualatin, OR, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8641 No. 836 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14790Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14928Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Oregon State

Composite

0.8641

#836 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on John Miller

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about John Miller

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
118Tackles
10Tackles for loss
8Sacks
Per game
9Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks
Final
118Tackles
10Tackles for loss
8Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 118.

✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 118.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 8.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

John Miller is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Utah State's defense, with 8.0 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14790 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 118 40 solo | #16/4942 (100th pct)
TFL 10.0 Backfield disruption | #103/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 8.0 Pass-rush finish | #27/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
118 100th
SOLO
40 95th
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
8.0 99th
QBH
8 98th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 28-16vs UTEP1031.51.00
Wk 2L 22-44@ Texas A&M742.02.002 sacks
Wk 3W 49-30vs Air Force1641.01.00Season-high 16 tackles
Wk 4W 48-7vs McNeese300.00.00
Wk 5L 35-55@ Vanderbilt1231.51.00
Wk 7L 26-44@ Hawai'i530.50.50
Wk 8W 30-25vs San José State910.00.01
Wk 9L 14-33@ New Mexico1010.50.00
Wk 11W 51-14vs Nevada710.00.00
Wk 12L 26-29@ UNLV1142.52.012 sacks
Wk 13W 28-17@ Fresno State550.00.00
Wk 14L 24-25vs Boise State1460.00.01
BowlL 21-34vs Washington State950.50.50
Total1184010.08.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oregon State7-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2022Oregon State10-3HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-heavy
2023Oregon State8-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2025Utah State6-7HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Utah State1184010.08.03----
2023Oregon State1140.00.01----
2022Oregon State511.00.01----
2021Oregon State440.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons1384911.08.05----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 8 Quarterback hurries | #41/1878 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 118 #16/4942 100th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.0 #103/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 8.0 #27/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 8 #41/1878 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 40 #212/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g9.70.40.40.3
Road6g8.31.20.90.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g8.30.40.30.2
Losses7g9.71.10.90.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g8.91.00.90.0
Weeks 8+6g9.30.50.30.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

94Elite
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (99th). Strength: sacks (99th).

Tackles#16 / 2975 · 99th pct
118defe
Sacks#27 / 2975 · 99th pct
8.0defe
QB hurries#41 / 2975 · 98th pct
8defe
Tackles for loss#103 / 2975 · 96th pct
10.0defe
Solo tackles#212 / 2975 · 92nd pct
40defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
John MillerUtah StateMac HarrisSouth Florida· 94% simRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 94% simSammy BrownClemson· 94% sim
Tackles
99
Miller
99
Harris
98
Biles
99
Brown
Sacks
99
Miller
97
Harris
95
Biles
97
Brown
QB hurries
98
Miller
97
Harris
88
Biles
95
Brown
Tackles for loss
96
Miller
91
Harris
100
Biles
99
Brown
Solo tackles
92
Miller
98
Harris
91
Biles
98
Brown
Passes defended
78
Miller
67
Harris
86
Biles
91
Brown

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jeremy Banks’s 2021 season.

Jeremy Banks

81%match

Tennessee · 2021

#2

Chase Wilson

Colorado State · 2023

All-Mountain West
76%
#3

Mani Powell

Purdue · 2025

All-Big Ten
74%
#4

Darren Anders

Bowling Green · 2021

All-MAC
74%
#5

Mac Harris

South Florida · 2025

73%

Matches Jeremy on

Weight
Tackle volume
PD rate

Differs from Jeremy on

Class year (higher)
Sack rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jayden McDonald's graduate season at UConn (2024).

Jayden McDonald

79%match

UConn · 2024

#2

Jordan Stringer

Troy · 2025

79%
#3

Jacob Rodriguez

Texas Tech · 2025

NagurskiBednarikButkusNFL Rd 2 · Pk 11
77%
#4

Bryun Parham

UConn · 2025

74%
#5

Quinton Urwiler

Northern Illinois · 2025

All-MAC
72%

Matches Jayden on

TFL rate
Weight
Tackle volume

Differs from Jayden on

Sack rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bronco Mendenhall

Pass share

47.9%

403 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

339 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2022
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2023
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2025
Bronco Mendenhall
Utah State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Bronco Mendenhall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTualatin, OR
Height6'1"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionLB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Utah State LB4 #14790 #14928 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Oregon State LB4 #9115 #8695 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Oregon State LB4 #8360 #7926 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Oregon State LB4 #11340 #11163 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Utah State Mountain West LB 4 6-1 | 225 lb | Tualatin, OR
2024 Utah State Mountain West LB 4 6-1 | 225 lb | Tualatin, OR
2023 Oregon State Pac-12 LB 4 6-1 | 225 lb | Tualatin, OR
2022 Oregon State Pac-12 LB 4 6-1 | 225 lb | Tualatin, OR
2021 Oregon State Pac-12 LB 4 6-1 | 225 lb | Tualatin, OR