CFB Zeitgeist Score
27
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 41st percentile.
Dallan Hayden
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
326 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 70 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Colorado for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Colorado
Returning around him
- 7% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +4 net (42 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Colorado · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #30 · 2026 recruiting class #37
RB · COLORADO · BIG 12
Dallan Hayden
- 3
- #7
- 5-10 | 205 lb
- Memphis, TN
Heisman Heat
#430
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025-41%
Sharp dropoff (-41%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9041 | No. 282 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Ohio State
Composite
0.9041
#282 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Dallan Hayden
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Dallan Hayden
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
326Rush yards
70Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
40.8Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
529.8Rush yards
114Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 326): needs 84.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 326): needs 134.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 326): needs 234.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dallan Hayden's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
70 67th
YDS
326 67th
YPC
4.7 53rd
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
4 38th
YDS
15 24th
YPR
3.8 14th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | W 37-20vs Wyoming | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-35@ TCU | 9 | 61 | 6.8 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-17vs Iowa State | 12 | 58 | 4.8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-53@ Utah | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-52vs Arizona | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 11 | L 22-29@ West Virginia | 10 | 34 | 3.4 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-42vs Arizona State | 10 | 65 | 6.5 | 1 | 42 | |
| Wk 14 | L 14-24@ Kansas State | 15 | 66 | 4.4 | 0 | 24 | Season-high 66 yds |
| Total | 70 | 326 | 4.2 | 1 | 42 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2023Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2024Colorado9-4HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Colorado3-9HC: Deion Sanders · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado | 70 | 326 | 4.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Colorado | 64 | 196 | 3.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Ohio State | 19 | 110 | 5.8 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Ohio State | 111 | 553 | 5.0 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 264 | 1,185 | 4.5 | 8 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Colorado | 17 | 132 | 7.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Ohio State | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Ohio State | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 26 | 168 | 6.5 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 326 | #247/735 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.7 | #343/735 | 53rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 4 | #343/552 | 38th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 15 | #415/548 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.05 | #298/362 | 18th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 69 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.3% | #171/738 | 77th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 70 | #242/739 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 42 | #222/733 | 70th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 11 | #395/540 | 27th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 3.8 | #471/548 | 14th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 26.8% | #157/738 | 79th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 21.4% | #114/738 | 85th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 19.1% | #148/738 | 80th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.2% | #261/738 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.8% | #208/738 | 72nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.2% | #232/738 | 69th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.9% | #237/738 | 68th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 41.8 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 39.8 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 34.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
| Losses6g | 43.0 | 4.0 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 43.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 39.4 | 3.5 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
27Below cohort
Concern: rec yards (9th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.05Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Dallan HaydenColoradoJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 67% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 63% simTae MeadowsTroy· 61% sim
Long run
Yards / carry
Carries
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Receptions
Rec yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tre Siggers’s 2020 season.
Tre Siggers
81%match
#2
Jalen Mitchell
81%
#3
Nathaniel Peat
80%
#4
Kavosiey Smoke
80%
#5
Pat Garwo III
79%
Matches Tre on
Yards / carry
Weight
Receiving share
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Shadrick Byrd's senior season at Charlotte (2023).
Shadrick Byrd
76%match
#2
Jaziun Patterson
74%
#3
Aidan Laughery
All-Big Ten
69%
#4
C'Bo Flemister
69%
#5
Nathaniel Peat
68%
Matches Shadrick on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / carry
Differs from Shadrick on
Receiving share (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Deion Sanders
Pass share
45.6%
356 pass / 424 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.5%
320 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Mike Sanford Jr.
Colorado
2023era →
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2024
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2025
Deion Sanders
Colorado
Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Sanford Jr. → Deion Sanders. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMemphis, TN
Height5'10"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado | RB3 | #430 | #407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Ohio State | RB3 | #746 | #500 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Ohio State | RB3 | #184 | #128 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 7 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Memphis, TN |
| 2024 | Colorado | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 7 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Memphis, TN |
| 2023 | Ohio State | Big Ten | RB | 3 | No. 7 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Memphis, TN |
| 2022 | Ohio State | Big Ten | RB | 3 | No. 7 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Memphis, TN |