This week · as of Wed Nov 4

7-2, won 2 straight, on track for 9-3 in the regular season.

Now

Career arc

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerFBS medianMarshallSouthern MissMemphisWest VirginiaWest VirginiaNational Programrespectable, streakyRegional Programthe building-block levelMarshall when he took over: 25.1 (Regional Program I), its final 2020 readingtook overMarshall, 2021: 7-6, Regional Program IMarshall, 2021: 7-6, Regional Program I20217-6Marshall, 2022: 9-4, National Program III20229-4Marshall, 2023: 6-7, Regional Program I20236-7Marshall, 2024: 10-3, Regional Program IMarshall, 2024: 10-3, Regional Program I202410-3+1.8Southern Miss when he took over: 9.6 (Regional Program IV), its final 2024 readingtook overSouthern Miss, 2025: 7-5, Regional Program VSouthern Miss, 2025: 7-5, Regional Program V20257-5+0.1Memphis when he took over: 33.6 (National Program II), its final 2025 readingtook overMemphis, 2026: 7-2, National Program IIMemphis, 2026: 7-2, National Program II20267-2-0.2best: 2026gray dashed: rival programs · ○ the program when he took over · Dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Bowls and playoffs: 1-2

Marshall2021New Orleans BowlL 21-362022Myrtle Beach BowlW 28-142023Frisco BowlL 17-35

This week Wed Nov 4

  • Last gameW 49-22 vs. Army Sat Oct 31
  • This season7-2 won 2 straight
  • On track for9-3 regular season
  • Nextat South Florida Thu Nov 12 (no game this week)
  • Stature50th of 138 FBS programs

What the result changed

  • Playoff odds 1% → 2% CFB Zeitgeist forecast, before and after

Thursday: at South Florida

No game this week · Thu Nov 12, 8 pm ET ESPN · South Florida is 6-2 · First meeting between Huff and Brian Hartline as head coaches · Memphis’s chance to win: 53% (the site’s model)

His week

Several stories this week →

The headlines, Nov 1–4

Offense: 34th of 138 per play. Defense: 66th.

Offense, per play34thOffense, staying on schedule7thDefense, per play66thDefense, big plays allowed128thWorstBest
Offense, per play34th of 138Offense, staying on schedule7th of 138Defense, per play66th of 138Defense, big plays allowed128th of 138WorstBest
Through 9 games. Each tick is an FBS team, adjusted for opponent strength (CFB Zeitgeist model); the dot is Memphis. The other two rows are where Memphis stands furthest from the middle. Early-season numbers move a lot.

3 games left

  1. Thu Nov 12at South Florida (6-2)ESPN53%
  2. Sat Nov 21at Navy (2-6)64%
  3. Fri Nov 27vs. Temple (2-6)ESPN84%

Percent: Memphis’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.

How the season got here

Where Memphis stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).

44th50th56thPreseason48thArkansas State W 42-24Arkansas State W 42-24W 42-24Arkansas State48thUNLV W 27-21UNLV W 27-21W 27-21UNLV49thBoise State L 20-38Boise State L 20-38L 20-38Boise State50thUT Martin W 45-21UT Martin W 45-21W 45-21UT Martin52ndCharlotte W 59-8Charlotte W 59-8W 59-8Charlotte52ndUAB W 38-13UAB W 38-13W 38-13UAB48thTulane L 17-31Tulane L 17-31L 17-31Tulane50thEast Carolina W 41-34East Carolina W 41-34W 41-34East Carolina51stArmy W 49-22Army W 49-22W 49-22Army49thBye50th
  1. Oct 26–Nov 1W 49-22 vs. Army9 headlines · 45th of 138Charles Huff previews Memphis football's matchup with Army USA Today
  2. Oct 19–25W 41-34 vs. East Carolina8 headlines · 47th of 138What did Charles Huff say after Memphis’ overtime win over ECU? Yahoo Sports
  3. Oct 12–18L 17-31 at Tulane9 headlines · 38th of 138What Charles Huff said after Memphis football's stunning defeat to Tulane Yahoo Sports
  4. Oct 5–11W 38-13 vs. UAB5 headlines · 56th of 138Why Charles Huff didn't touch 'Battle for the Bones' trophy after Memphis' win over UAB USA Today
  5. Sep 28–Oct 4W 59-8 at Charlotte5 headlines · 65th of 138What Charles Huff said about his favorite catch in Memphis football's win vs Charlotte The Commercial Appeal
  6. Sep 21–27 · rebuiltNo game0 headlinesHow Charles Huff challenged Memphis football after loss to Boise State, how Tigers responded The Commercial Appeal

Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.

Watch the biggest plays from Memphis’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.

Poach watch

This winter

9%chance he leaves this winter for a head-coaching job elsewhere, or an NFL coordinator jobSettled23rd-highest of 132 FBS head coaches
0%50%+

Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.

What drives his number

The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.

  • ▼ Lower
    His first season at Memphis
  • ▲ Higher
    His team is 7-2, outscoring opponents by 14.0 points a game
  • ▲ Higher
    No record for him here before this season · his first year in the job
How good is this number? It ranks a head coach who leaves for another head-coaching job ahead of one who stays 78 to 82% of the time, and its average came within a point of the share who actually left. What it can’t do

Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.

  • The live number prices the games he has left with the power model’s ratings from this season. The test priced them with each team’s rating from the season before, because ratings made during past seasons were not kept, so this live version could not be replayed.
  • Programs new to FBS have no FBS record before this season in the data it reads, so their coaches are scored without one.
  • It is frozen: it learns nothing from 2026 until a deliberate refit.
  • A coach hired in December needs his background (age, alma mater, the state he was born in) added before his first game, or he shows as not rated.