cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jimmy Rolder /Michigan

Jimmy Rolder

LB · Michigan · Sr · #30

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

73 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Detroit — Rd 4, Pick 18, #118 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Detroit2026 NFL rookie season

#118Rd 4 · Pick 18
Detroit2026 NFL rookie season

LB · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Jimmy Rolder

  • 4
  • #30
  • 6-2 | 240 lb
  • Orland Park, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

68

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9328

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Michigan · LB

2023

Michigan · LB

2024

Michigan · LB

2025

Michigan · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 4, Pick 18 · #118 overall · Detroit

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#222 national
CFB
College
Michigan
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #118
Detroit &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey30
Measurements6-2 | 240 lb
HometownOrland Park, IL
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 222 recruit
Composite rating 0.9151 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2022
Origin Marist Chicago, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9151 No. 222 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9328Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9314Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.9151

#222 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 4, Pick 18

#118 overall · Detroit

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jimmy Rolder

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jimmy Rolder

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
73Tackles
7Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
79Tackles
7.6Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 73): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 73): needs 27/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jimmy Rolder is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Michigan's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9328 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 222 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 73 47 solo | #227/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 7.0 Backfield disruption | #277/4972 (94th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
73 95th
SOLO
47 98th
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-17vs New Mexico441.00.00
Wk 2L 13-24@ Oklahoma630.00.01
Wk 3W 63-3vs Central Michigan630.00.00
Wk 4W 30-27@ Nebraska521.01.00
Wk 6W 24-10vs Wisconsin750.00.00
Wk 7L 13-31@ USC630.00.00
Wk 8W 24-7vs Washington851.50.010
Wk 9W 31-20@ Michigan State1092.01.00
Wk 12W 24-22@ Northwestern210.00.00
Wk 13W 45-20@ Maryland320.00.00
Wk 14L 9-27vs Ohio State1261.50.00Season-high 12 tackles
BowlL 27-41@ Texas440.00.00
Total73477.02.011
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan73477.02.011--
2024Michigan26151.50.0------
2023Michigan510.50.0------
2022Michigan1370.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons117709.02.011--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 73 #227/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.0 #277/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 47 #100/4584 98th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 2.0 #512/578 12th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 2 #527/578 9th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g7.40.80.00.0
Road7g5.10.40.30.1

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g5.60.70.20.0
Losses4g7.00.40.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.40.30.10.1
Weeks 8+5g7.01.00.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

68Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (96th). Strength: tackles (92nd).

Solo tackles#100 / 2975 · 96th pct
47defe
Tackles#227 / 2975 · 92nd pct
73defe
Tackles for loss#277 / 2975 · 90th pct
7.0defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jimmy RolderMichiganDaniel WingateMaryland· 96% simQuinton UrwilerNorthern Illinois· 96% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 94% sim
Solo tackles
96
Rolder
99
Wingate
100
Urwiler
98
Baranowski
Tackles
92
Rolder
98
Wingate
100
Urwiler
98
Baranowski
Tackles for loss
90
Rolder
87
Wingate
91
Urwiler
95
Baranowski
Sacks
80
Rolder
74
Wingate
74
Urwiler
89
Baranowski
QB hurries
72
Rolder
72
Wingate
72
Urwiler
82
Baranowski
Passes defended
48
Rolder
48
Wingate
48
Urwiler
48
Baranowski
Forced fumbles
47
Rolder
Interceptions
31
Rolder
31
Wingate
31
Urwiler

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to West Weeks’s 2025 season.

West Weeks

88%match

LSU · 2025

#2

Ernest Hausmann

Michigan · 2025

All-Big Ten
85%
#3

Dariel Djabome

Rutgers · 2025

85%
#4

Jeremiah Brown

Colorado · 2025

83%
#5

Kris Moncrief

Louisiana · 2022

80%

Matches West on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Connor Shay's senior season at Wyoming (2024).

Connor Shay

90%match

Wyoming · 2024

#2

Ernest Hausmann

Michigan · 2025

All-Big Ten
89%
#3

Dariel Djabome

Rutgers · 2025

All-Big Ten
89%
#4

Jordan Stringer

Troy · 2024

88%
#5

Reid Williford

Charlotte · 2025

88%

Matches Connor on

TFL rate
Tackle volume
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOrland Park, IL
Height6'2"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey30

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Michigan | Big Ten LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan LB4 #9328 #9314 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan LB4 #3501 #3035 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Michigan LB4 #3913 #3512 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Orland Park, IL
2024 Michigan Big Ten LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Orland Park, IL
2023 Michigan Big Ten LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Orland Park, IL
2022 Michigan Big Ten LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Orland Park, IL