cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Donovan McIntosh /Kansas State

Donovan McIntosh

CB · Kansas State · So · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

33 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Kansas State)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Kansas State
DestinationTBD

CB · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12

Donovan McIntosh

  • 2
  • #9
  • 6-3 | 194 lb
  • Saint Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10562

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#507 national
CFB
College
Kansas State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class2
Jersey9
Measurements6-3 | 194 lb
HometownSaint Louis, MO
Primary teamKansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 507 recruit
Composite rating 0.8861 HighSchool
Signed with Kansas State 2023
Origin St. Mary's St. Louis, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8861 No. 507 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Dec 17, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Kansas State -> -- 3-star | 0.8600 | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10562Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10307Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas State

Composite

0.8861

#507 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Donovan McIntosh

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Donovan McIntosh

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
33Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
43Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 33): needs 15.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 33): needs 22.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Donovan McIntosh is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Kansas State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10562 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 33 26 solo | #1194/4942 (76th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
33 76th
SOLO
26 85th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 21-24vs Iowa State850.00.02Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 1W 38-35vs North Dakota330.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 5W 34-20vs UCF220.00.00
Wk 6L 34-35@ Baylor440.00.01
Wk 7W 41-28vs TCU530.00.00
Wk 9W 42-17@ Kansas210.00.00
Wk 10L 20-43vs Texas Tech320.00.01
Wk 12W 14-6@ Oklahoma State110.00.00
Wk 13L 47-51@ Utah440.00.00
Wk 14W 24-14vs Colorado110.00.010
Total33260.00.014
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas State33260.00.041--
Career1 loaded season33260.00.041--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 33 #1194/4942 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 26 #696/4584 85th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 1.0 #543/578 6th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 1 #546/578 6th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.70.00.00.5
Road4g2.80.00.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.30.00.00.0
Losses4g4.80.00.01.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g4.40.00.00.6
Weeks 8+5g2.20.00.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

40Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#696 / 2975 · 76th pct
26defe
Tackles#1194 / 2975 · 59th pct
33defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Donovan McIntoshKansas StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 73% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 72% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 68% sim
Passes defended
86
McIntosh
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
98
Hamblin
Solo tackles
76
McIntosh
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
99
Hamblin
Tackles
59
McIntosh
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Hamblin
Interceptions
31
McIntosh
31
Martin
31
Hamblin
Sacks
24
McIntosh
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
74
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
McIntosh
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Hamblin
Tackles for loss
7
McIntosh
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
56
Hamblin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Press Corner

Long and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Deonte Stanley’s 2023 season.

Deonte Stanley

84%match

Middle Tennessee · 2023

#2

Jaylon Shelton

UTEP · 2024

79%
#3

Ben Kamara

Akron · 2025

78%
#4

Perry Fisher

UAB · 2025

74%
#5

Justin Ross

Navy · 2025

76%

Matches Deonte on

Interceptions
PD rate
Height

Differs from Deonte on

Tackle volume (higher)
Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Javon Batten's sophomore season at Massachusetts (2022).

Javon Batten

86%match

Massachusetts · 2022

#2

Justin Ross

Navy · 2025

86%
#3

Elijah Reed

Akron · 2024

83%
#4

Brennen Bailey

Massachusetts · 2025

80%
#5

Tre Fulton

UNLV · 2025

79%

Matches Javon on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Klieman

Pass share

46.4%

342 pass / 395 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State

Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Louis, MO
Height6'3"
Weight194 lb
Class2
PositionCB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas State CB2 #10562 #10307 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas State CB2 #11013 #10706 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas State Big 12 CB 2 No. 9 | 6-3 | 194 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2024 Kansas State Big 12 CB 2 No. 9 | 6-3 | 194 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2023 Kansas State Big 12 CB 2 No. 9 | 6-3 | 194 lb | Saint Louis, MO