Geoff Collins
Defensive coordinator across 3 programs, 3 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
Geoff Collins
Followed Paul Johnson. Geoff Collins slid Georgia Tech from National Program I to National Program II in 4 seasons.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached National Program in his 1st career season — faster than 41% of the 675 FBS coaches who have ever reached National Program (rank #1 of 675 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0–2 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Dabo Swinney.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
13th-best Georgia Tech tenure of 14 by the numbers.
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Paul Johnson (2008–2018).
| Season | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 3–9 | 3–7 | 3–9 | 4–4 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #51 | #26 | #47 | #54 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||
| Pass rate | 37.5 | 41.0 | 43.5 | 47.2 | |
| Coordinators | |||||
| OC | Dave Patenaude | Dave Patenaude | Dave Patenaude | Chip Long | |
| DC | Andrew Thacker / Nathan Burton | Andrew Thacker / Nathan Burton | Andrew Thacker / Nathan Burton | Andrew Thacker | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 13 | 49 | 13 | 10 | |
| Defense | 28 | 44 | 7 | 72 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 35.8 | 41.4 | 43.9 | 48.2 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 26.5 | 36.4 | 42.9 | 43.0 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 37.9 | 57.1 | 37.1 | 21.9 | |
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
5 NFL Draft picks: Tyler Davis (2020), Jalen Camp (2021), Pressley Harvin III (2021), Tariq Carpenter (2022), Keion White (2023)
1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Pressley Harvin III (2020)
4th-best Temple tenure of 18 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and outperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Matt Rhule (2013–2016) · succeeded by Rod Carey (2019–2021).
| Season | 2017 | 2018 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 7–6 | 0–1 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | L bowl | |
| Recruiting rank | #119 | #83 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||
| Pass rate | 49.6 | 47.3 | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Dave Patenaude | Dave Patenaude | |
| DC | Taver Johnson | Andrew Thacker | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 55 | 50 | |
| Defense | 71 | 66 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 47.6 | 44.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 50.0 | 38.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 25.0 | 43.8 | |
8 NFL Draft picks: Haason Reddick (2017), Dion Dawkins (2017), Nate Hairston (2017), Jake Martin (2018), Jullian Taylor (2018), Rock Ya-Sin (2019), Ryquell Armstead (2019), Michael Dogbe (2019)