cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / DJ Burks /App State

DJ Burks

DB · App State · Jr · #21

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

73 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to App State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to App State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · App State

Returning around him

  • 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (38 in / 41 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

App State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #79 · 2026 recruiting class #116

DB · APP STATE · SUN BELT

DJ Burks

  • 3
  • #21
  • 6-0 | 200 lb
  • Maryville, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15107

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1414 national
CFB
College
App State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey21
Measurements6-0 | 200 lb
HometownMaryville, TN
Primary teamApp State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1414 recruit
Composite rating 0.8444 HighSchool
Signed with App State 2022
Origin Maryville Maryville, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8444 No. 1414 recruit | HighSchool | App State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15107Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15187Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to App State

Composite

0.8444

#1414 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on DJ Burks

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about DJ Burks

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
73Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
7Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
86Tackles
1.8Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 73): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 73): needs 13.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

DJ Burks is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on App State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15107 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 73 34 solo | #227/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
73 95th
SOLO
34 92nd
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 20-13vs Lindenwood331.00.010
Wk 3L 22-38@ Southern Miss300.00.010
Wk 6W 27-23vs Oregon State320.00.01
Wk 7W 41-20@ Georgia State530.00.00
Wk 8L 37-45vs Coastal Carolina300.00.00
Wk 9L 21-24@ Old Dominion710.50.02
Wk 11L 23-25vs Georgia Southern1270.00.01Season-high 12 tackles
Wk 12L 10-58@ James Madison1160.00.00
Wk 13W 26-24vs Marshall930.00.00
Wk 14L 29-30vs Arkansas State940.00.01
BowlL 10-29vs Georgia Southern850.00.00
Total73341.50.025
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023App State9-5HC: Shawn Clark · Balanced
2025App State5-8HC: Dowell Loggains · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025App State73341.50.052--
2023App State2--0.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons75341.50.052--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 73 #227/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 34 #386/4584 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 25 #260/578 55th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 12.5 #319/578 45th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g6.70.10.00.4
Road4g6.50.10.00.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g5.00.20.00.2
Losses7g7.60.10.00.6

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g4.40.20.00.2
Weeks 8+6g8.50.10.00.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

57Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (92nd). Strength: passes defended (90th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#227 / 2975 · 92nd pct
73defe
Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Solo tackles#386 / 2975 · 87th pct
34defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
DJ BurksApp StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 91% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 83% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 82% sim
Tackles
92
Burks
99
Ra-El
99
Lafayette
98
Johnson
Passes defended
91
Burks
91
Ra-El
91
Lafayette
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
87
Burks
100
Ra-El
98
Lafayette
97
Johnson
Interceptions
75
Burks
75
Lafayette
95
Johnson
Tackles for loss
39
Burks
56
Ra-El
56
Lafayette
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Burks
24
Ra-El
63
Lafayette
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Burks
22
Ra-El
22
Lafayette
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kevin Brennan’s 2020 season.

Kevin Brennan

90%match

Navy · 2020

#2

Bennett Williams

Oregon · 2022

89%
#3

Peter Manuma

Hawai'i · 2022

89%
#4

Maxen Hook

Toledo · 2022

All-MAC
89%
#5

Dell Pettus

Troy · 2023

All-Sun Belt
87%

Matches Kevin on

Tackle volume
PD rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jacquez Warren's junior season at Miami (OH) (2023).

Jacquez Warren

91%match

Miami (OH) · 2023

#2

Jeremiah Trotter Jr.

Clemson · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 5
81%
#3

Brian Branch

Alabama · 2022

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 14
81%
#4

Owen Heinecke

Oklahoma · 2025

79%
#5

Alex Odom

Temple · 2022

79%

Matches Jacquez on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dowell Loggains

Pass share

55.6%

508 pass / 405 run

Plays / game

70.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

389 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Shawn Clark
App State
2025
Dowell Loggains
App State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Clark → Dowell Loggains. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMaryville, TN
Height6'0"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 App State DB3 #15107 #15187 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 App State DB3 #12617 #12422 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 App State DB3 #13429 #13231 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 App State Sun Belt DB 3 No. 21 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Maryville, TN
2024 App State Sun Belt DB 3 No. 21 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Maryville, TN
2023 App State Sun Belt DB 3 No. 21 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Maryville, TN
2022 App State Sun Belt DB 3 No. 21 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Maryville, TN