App State beats James Madison 34-31

James Madison7-131
App State5-234Final
Thu, Oct 22 · Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, N.C.ESPNU

App State beat James Madison 34-31.

We had James Madison favored. App State won.

Next: James Madison vs Troy, Thu Oct 29 · 7:30 PM ET

Next: App State at Georgia Southern, Sat Oct 31

What it cost

James Madison’s chance to make the playoff fell from 22% to 13%.

Make the playoff

James Madison · lost22% → ▼13%22%▼ 13%
App State · won0% → 0%

Win the conference

James Madison · lost50% → ▼44%50%▼ 44%
App State · won2% → ▲3%

Before the game (October 21, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

James Madison plays vs Troy on Thu Oct 29 with a 13% chance to make the playoff. App State plays at Georgia Southern on Sat Oct 31 with a 3% chance to win the conference.

Box score

App State 34, James Madison 31

App State covered +12.5 by 15.5. The total, 65, went over 56.5.

James MadisonApp StateTotal yardsJames Madison 423App State 366423366Passing yardsJames Madison 331App State 285331285Rushing yardsJames Madison 92App State 819281First downsJames Madison 19App State 221922TurnoversJames Madison 1App State 010Time of possessionJames Madison 26:50App State 33:1026:5033:10
Team totalsJames MadisonApp State
Total yards423366
Passing27 of 46, 331 yds29 of 44, 285 yds
Rushing30 for 92 yds31 for 81 yds
First downs1922
Third down2 of 157 of 18
Fourth down3 of 30 of 0
Turnovers10
Penalties10 for 92 yds7 for 68 yds
Time of possession26:5033:10

James Madison leaders

  • Passing Camden Coleman 22 of 39, 232 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing George Pettaway 15 for 57 yds, 1 TD; Seth Cromwell 4 for 18 yds
  • Receiving Braeden Wisloski 2 for 84 yds, 1 TD; Jeremiah Harrison 6 for 59 yds

App State leaders

  • Passing Malachi Singleton 26 of 40, 271 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Jaquari Lewis 13 for 74 yds; Henry Hasselbeck 7 for 9 yds
  • Receiving Nate Branch 6 for 73 yds; Sam Pickett III 6 for 63 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

James Madison · 7-0

Rated 85th in our preseason ratings, 37th now, up 48 spots.

Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

Last three games

App State · 4-2

Rated 98th in our preseason ratings, 119th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

App State

Wk 2: W 27-24 at East Carolina▲3E. Carol…Wk 3: W 26-21 vs Charlotte▲5CharlotteWk 4: L 31-41 at NC State▼10NC StateWk 6: L 3-10 vs Old Dominion▼7Old Domi…Wk 7: W 35-32 at Coastal Carolina▲3Coastal…
  • Wk 2Wat East Carolina27-24
  • Wk 3Wvs Charlotte26-21
  • Wk 4Lat NC State31-41
  • Wk 6Lvs Old Dominion3-10
  • Wk 7Wat Coastal Carolina35-32

James Madison

Wk 3: W 26-13 at San Diego State▲13S. Diego…Wk 4: W 46-20 at Old Dominion▲26Old Domi…Wk 5: W 45-17 vs Marshall▲28MarshallWk 6: W 27-24 at Georgia Southern▲3G. South…Wk 7: W 49-22 vs Georgia State▲27G. St.
  • Wk 3Wat San Diego State26-13
  • Wk 4Wat Old Dominion46-20
  • Wk 5Wvs Marshall45-17
  • Wk 6Wat Georgia Southern27-24
  • Wk 7Wvs Georgia State49-22

Power rating by week

James Madison is rated 8.8 points ahead as of week 7. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

72-4Wk 0Wk 4Wk 7App StateJames Madison

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: App State’s rushing EPA against James Madison, 63 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. App State’s rushing EPA against James Madison’s defense

    63 pointsweakerstronger50th

    App State offense, 21st percentile · James Madison defense, 84th

  2. James Madison’s EPA/play against App State’s defense

    35 pointsweakerstronger50th

    James Madison offense, 87th percentile · App State defense, 52nd

  3. James Madison’s explosive plays against App State’s defense

    22 pointsweakerstronger50th

    James Madison offense, 55th percentile · App State defense, 77th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

James MadisonApp State
EPA/play, offense
James Madison · 87App State · 45
EPA/play, defense
James Madison · 80App State · 52
Success rate, offense
James Madison · 74App State · 48
Success rate, defense
James Madison · 71App State · 45
Explosive-play rate, offense
James Madison · 55App State · 45
Explosive-play rate, defense
James Madison · 39App State · 77
Rush EPA, offense
James Madison ·…App State · 21
Rush EPA, defense
James Madison · 84App State · 55
Pass EPA, offense
James Madison · 80App State · 65
Pass EPA, defense
James Madison · 63App State · 48

The series

App State leads the series 6-3

9 meetings since 1980 · James Madison won the last meeting

App State wonJames Madison won1980: App State by 281981: App State by 452006: App State by 112007: App State by 12008: James Madison by 32022: James Madison by 42023: App State by 32024: App State by 142025: James Madison by 4819802025
  • 2025James Madison 58-10App State lost 10-58 at James Madison. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 12%.
  • 2024App State 34-20App State won 34-20 vs James Madison. Chance to win started at 29%, low 8%, high 98%.
  • 2023App State 26-23
  • 2022James Madison 32-28App State lost 28-32 vs James Madison. Chance to win started at 61%, low under 1%, high 99%.
  • 2008James Madison 35-32

Each line is App State’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

App State fans are in a better mood than James Madison fans (89th vs 73rd among FBS fanbases), even with James Madison favored.

50-50Model 14% · Line 16%App State fans · 89thJames Madison fans ·…James MadisonApp State

James Madison favored by 12.5 · Total 56.5

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward James Madison.

opened +10.5now +12.5

Spread: +10.5 → +12.5

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

App State is worth +4.8 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 64th percentile.

77% at home, 49% on the road against FBS opponents (34-10 home, 24-25 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.9 at home vs. away over 103 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 218 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Full Sun Belt standings