Jerry Mack
Also coached below FBS: North Carolina Central 2014–17
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 0-1
2025Myrtle Beach BowlL 6-41
As of Fri Oct 23
- This season1-6 lost 6 straight
- Hot seat17% 28th of 137
- On track for3-9 regular season
- Nextat Middle Tennessee Wed Oct 28
- Stature125th of 138 FBS programs
Lost 6-34 vs. Liberty
Best Kennesaw State lines
- Rickie Collins15 of 26, 124 yards, 2 INT
- Alan Woods III13 carries, 38 yards
- Brayden Munroe3 catches, 53 yards
- Dylan Gary5 catches, 43 yards
- Baron Hopson12 tackles
His fourth-down calls
6 of 10 matched what most FBS coaches do in that spot (FBS play-by-play, 2014–25: the same distance and quarter, within 5 yards; not the score or the clock).
Q1
4th & 4, opp 28
Went for it · stopped
43% of FBS coaches go for it there
Q2
4th & 9, own 36
Went for it · stopped
1% of FBS coaches go for it there
Q2
4th & 1, opp 20
Kicked a field goal
78% of FBS coaches go for it there
Q3
4th & 1, own 24
Went for it · stopped
26% of FBS coaches go for it there
Q1
4th & 4, opp 44
Punted
36% of FBS coaches go for it there
Q1
4th & 1, own 34
Punted
30% of FBS coaches go for it there
Q3
4th & 1, own 47
Went for it · converted
70% of FBS coaches go for it there
Also 2 punts and 1 field goal where most FBS coaches kick too.
Is he getting fired?
17% chance he’s out after the season · 28th of 137 FBS head coaches · Warm
Before Liberty: 14%. Had they won: 9%.
If he finishes…
Bar: how likely that finish isNumber: his chance of being out
- 1-1127%
- 2-1017%
- 3-912%
- 4-88%
- 5-75%
Why his number is where it is
Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 137 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.
Now hotter than at this point in 2025.
His hot seat, week by week
The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.
Earlier seasons price the games left with power ratings rebuilt after those seasons ended.
What drives his number
The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.
- ▲ Hotter1-6, outscored by 35
- ▲ Hotter$1.8M buyout · 2.4× his pay, a multiple below average in FBS — cheap to move on
- ▼ Cooler10-4 over his previous season here
What happened to coaches like him, 2004–2025
A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.
- Were 1-6 after 7 games
- 21% pushed out over results · of 215 coaches
- Were in year 2, after 7 games
- 5% pushed out over results · of 473 coaches
How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.
Offense: 86th of 138 per play. Defense: 86th.
No headlines named him in the last 7 days
5 games left
- Wed Oct 28at Middle Tennessee (4-3)CBS Sports Network36%
- Sat Nov 7vs. Delaware (3-4)
28% - Sat Nov 14at Sam Houston (1-6)45%
- Sat Nov 21vs. Florida International (3-4)37%
- Sat Nov 28at Western Kentucky (3-4)23%
Percent: Kennesaw State’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.
How the season got here
Where Kennesaw State stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).
- Oct 12–18L 21-24 at Missouri State0 headlines
- Oct 5–11L 26-27 vs. Jacksonville State0 headlines
- Sep 28–Oct 4No game1 headline · 82nd of 138Inside Memphis native Jerry Mack's process at Kennesaw State football | Exclusive
The Commercial Appeal - Sep 21–27 · rebuiltL 14-17 at Arkansas State2 headlines · 76th of 138Jerry Mack and Antoine Pettway on 929 The Game
Kennesaw State University Athletics - Sep 14–20 · rebuiltL 9-42 at Tennessee12 headlines · 33rd of 138What Kennesaw State head coach Jerry Mack said following loss against Tennessee
On3 - Sep 7–13 · rebuiltL 17-31 vs. Georgia State0 headlines
Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.
Watch the biggest plays from Kennesaw State’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.
17 stories about him in the last 60 days
After L 6-34 vs Liberty
from 11 outlets and r/CFB
Jerry Mack and Antoine Pettway on 929 The Game
Kennesaw State University Athletics Sep 25 · 1 outlet
What they’re talking about
Press conference and quotes8 stories
247Sports +1Kennesaw State HC, Former Tennessee Assistant Jerry Mack Recaps Loss to VolsSep 19All 3 articles
- On3What Kennesaw State coach Jerry Mack said about facing No. 15 TennesseeSep 14
Rocky Top InsiderWhat Kennesaw State HC, Former Vols Assistant Jerry Mack Said Ahead of Game at TennesseeSep 14- 247SportsWhat Kennesaw State head coach Jerry Mack said about playing at Tennessee, facing his former teamSep 16
The Daily BeaconKennesaw State head coach Jerry Mack talks return to Tennessee footballSep 16
Profile and feature2 stories
WSB-TV +1Kennesaw State begins Year 2 of Jerry Mack era after historic season - WSB-TVSep 3- The Commercial AppealInside Memphis native Jerry Mack's process at Kennesaw State football | ExclusiveSep 28
18 stories about him this season
from 12 outlets and r/CFB
Jerry Mack and Antoine Pettway on 929 The Game
Kennesaw State University Athletics Sep 25 · 1 outlet
What they’re talking about
Press conference and quotes8 stories
- 247Sports +1Kennesaw State HC, Former Tennessee Assistant Jerry Mack Recaps Loss to VolsSep 19
All 3 articles
- On3What Kennesaw State coach Jerry Mack said about facing No. 15 TennesseeSep 14
- Rocky Top InsiderWhat Kennesaw State HC, Former Vols Assistant Jerry Mack Said Ahead of Game at TennesseeSep 14
- 247SportsWhat Kennesaw State head coach Jerry Mack said about playing at Tennessee, facing his former teamSep 16
- The Daily BeaconKennesaw State head coach Jerry Mack talks return to Tennessee footballSep 16
Profile and feature2 stories
- WSB-TV +1Kennesaw State begins Year 2 of Jerry Mack era after historic season - WSB-TVSep 3
- The Commercial AppealInside Memphis native Jerry Mack's process at Kennesaw State football | ExclusiveSep 28
17 stories about him across 2 seasons
Is he on the hot seat? What has he said?
Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Oct 23.
In his own words
Every quote, back to September 2026
In his own words (10)
We saw (Skyler) last year at UTEP, and he’s continued to do some really good things
Just looking at the film, extremely great catch radius
I can’t disclose the actual in-depth of the injury, but he will probably not be with us for the remainder of the season as a football player
We had way too many penalties
We moved him a little more into the slot this week because of Zion Booker ’s situation
He did have surgery
(Johnson) is one of the biggest vertical threats in Conference USA
It’s going to be a battle (at Arkansas State)
The thing that attracted me the most about Kai was just his intensity and the way he approached the game
Hunter had a big play against us last year
Hires into jobs like this
Hired into 8–8, Regional Program V. Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.
Coaching career
Followed Brian Bohannon (2024).
| Season | 2025 | 2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 10-4 | 1-6 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Mitch Militello | Mitch Militello | |
| DC | Marc Mattioli | Marc Mattioli | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 61 | 38 | |
| Defense | 28 | 38 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 43.8 | 54.3 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 31.0 | 36.4 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 37.0 | 37.5 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.
Coach of the Year: Conference USA Coach of the Year (2025)
AI Narratives — “Kennesaw State — stat check”.
Big games
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
Just 1-2 against Charles Kelly.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Called about what the situation called for.
937 run and pass snaps at Kennesaw State, 2025–2025, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
How good is he so far?
Three numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His recruiting, really
His one ranked Kennesaw State class of his own finished #120 nationally.
His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 92 of 109 players. The other 17 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 23% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2025–2026Counting players who have since left: 28% of the 124 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 16 of 33 signees (48%) across his 2025–2026 tenure, drawn from 6 states in all. Next: FL (6).
82% of his signees come from GA and its 5 border states (FL 6, AL 3, TN 2).
Off this map: 3 signees to the south (FL 3).
- median hometown distance
- 150 mi
- within 100 mi
- 42%
- within 500 mi
- 84%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 4%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.