Louisiana Tech at LSU
Fan take
Louisiana Tech fans
LSU fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Louisiana Tech · 8-5
Picked #86 in the preseason · now #108.
Three straight wins, capped by a 12-point win over Missouri State as a 2.5-point underdog.
W 23–14 vs Coastal Carolina #185 of 668
won by 9 as a 10-point favorite
W 42–30 @ Missouri State #147 of 668
won by 12 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 34–28 vs Liberty #96 of 668
won by 6 as a 1-point underdog
L 3–28 @ Washington State #72 of 668
lost by 25 as a 10-point underdog
L 24–25 @ Delaware #144 of 668
lost by 1 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 55–14 vs Sam Houston #223 of 668
won by 41 as a 16.5-point favorite
L 27–28 vs Western Kentucky #121 of 668
lost by 1 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 7–35 @ Kennesaw State #124 of 668
lost by 28 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 30–11 @ UTEP #138 of 668
won by 19 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 30–20 vs Southern Miss #178 of 668
won by 10 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 49–14 vs New Mexico State #254 of 668
won by 35 as a 10.5-point favorite
L 7–23 @ LSUTop 25 #8 of 668
lost by 16 as a 36.5-point underdog
W 24–0 vs SE Louisiana #180 of 668
won by 24 as a 14.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
LSU · 7-6
Picked #32 in the preseason · now #16 — better than expected.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 35–38 @ HoustonTop 25 #53 of 668
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 13–17 @ OklahomaTop 25 #18 of 668
lost by 4 as a 11.5-point underdog
W 13–10 vs Western Kentucky #88 of 668
won by 3 as a 25.5-point favorite
W 23–22 vs Arkansas #55 of 668
won by 1 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 9–20 @ AlabamaTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 11 as a 10-point underdog
L 25–49 vs Texas A&MTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 24 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 24–31 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #25 of 668
lost by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 20–10 vs South CarolinaTop 25 #31 of 668
won by 10 as a 8.5-point favorite
L 19–24 @ Ole MissTop 25 #14 of 668
lost by 5 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 56–10 vs SE Louisiana #148 of 668
won by 46 as a 48.5-point favorite
W 20–10 vs FloridaTop 25 #14 of 668
won by 10 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 23–7 vs Louisiana Tech #128 of 668
won by 16 as a 36.5-point favorite
W 17–10 @ ClemsonTop 25 #4 of 668
won by 7 as a 5.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
Win the conference
Win it all
CFP odds as of September 13, 2026
The series
LSU leads the series 18-1
19 meetings since 1904 · LSU has won the last 17
- 2026LSU 45–14
- 2025LSU 23–7
- 2018LSU 38–21
- 2009LSU 24–16
- 2007LSU 58–10
Best players
Louisiana Tech
- Jalen Mickens (WR) · 234 receiving yards
- Alonzo Jackson Jr. (LB) · 16 tackles
- Sam Fongang (DB) · 15 tackles
LSU
- Sam Leavitt (QB) · 574 passing yards — Heisman odds: 8th (+1500)
- TJ Dottery (LB) · 14 tackles
- Trey'Dez Green (TE) · 162 receiving yards — Heisman odds: 84th (+25000)
The line, and the room
Louisiana Tech fans are feeling better about their season (79th percentile) than LSU fans are (4th) — even with LSU favored here.
- Model · 83%
- Market · 100%
- LSU fans · 4th
- Louisiana Tech fans · 79th
Home −34.5 · O/U 54.5
Conditions
80°F · 4 mph wind · Rain Shower
LSU is worth +6.6 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 91st percentile.
82% at home, 53% on the road against FBS opponents (40–9 home, 19–17 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 70 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 170 miles to get here.
Louisiana Tech 14 – LSU 45
Called it — picked LSU to win.
Recent games
LSU
- Wk 1Wvs Clemson51-10
Louisiana Tech
- Wk 1Wvs Northwestern State80-6
Trajectory
LSU won 45-14, as picked pregame.