Louisiana Tech routs Northwestern State 80-6

Northwestern State0-26
Louisiana Tech1-080Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, La. · Crowd 13,108ESPN+

Louisiana Tech routed Northwestern State 80-6.

We had Louisiana Tech favored. It won.

Next: Northwestern State lost to East Texas A&M 38-14, Sat Sep 12

Next: Louisiana Tech lost to LSU 45-14, Sat Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Louisiana Tech a 90% chance, and the closing betting line (Louisiana Tech was a 44.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Louisiana Tech led by 18 after the first quarter and by 60 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+77+74
75-yard TD passLouisiana Tech · Q1 8:48Punt return TDLouisiana Tech · Q2 6:17
FinalLouisiana Tech 80-6 Northwestern StateLouisiana Tech wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won80-6Scores75-yard TD passPunt return TD
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won80-6Scores75-yard TD passPunt return TD
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost6-80Scores75-yard TD passPunt return TD
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost6-80Scores75-yard TD passPunt return TD

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Louisiana Tech’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Louisiana Tech -44.5), at 99% for Louisiana Tech (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Every drive

Louisiana Tech scored on 11 of its 14 drives; Northwestern State on 3 of its 15.

Louisiana Tech’s drives are teal, Northwestern State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Northwestern State: Field goal, from 65 yards out to 16Field goalLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Interception, from 75 yards out to 75InterceptionLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 38 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 82PuntLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 48 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Northwestern State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 49 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 46 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 92DownsLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 8 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: End of half, from 75 yards out to 69End of halfQ3Louisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 46 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthwestern State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntLouisiana Tech: Punt, from 46 yards out to 47PuntNorthwestern State: Punt, from 96 yards out to 90PuntLouisiana Tech: Punt, from 44 yards out to 42PuntQ4Northwestern State: Punt, from 89 yards out to 87PuntLouisiana Tech: Field goal, from 55 yards out to 32Field goalNorthwestern State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 20Field goalLouisiana Tech: End of game, from 75 yards out to 77End of game

The loudest stretch

The middle of the game is where fans had the most to say.

  1. early
  2. middle
  3. late
  4. final stretch
How we know

We look at when the most different fans were posting during the game thread, then name the part of the game it falls in. Only threads with a clear peak and enough fans get a word.

Box score

Louisiana Tech 80, Northwestern State 6

Louisiana Tech covered −44.5 by 29.5. The total, 86, went over 56.5.

Northwestern StateLouisiana TechTotal yardsNorthwestern State 129Louisiana Tech 528129528Passing yardsNorthwestern State 43Louisiana Tech 29643296Rushing yardsNorthwestern State 86Louisiana Tech 23286232First downsNorthwestern State 7Louisiana Tech 23723TurnoversNorthwestern State 1Louisiana Tech 010Time of possessionNorthwestern State 35:08Louisiana Tech 24:5235:0824:52
Team totalsNorthwestern StateLouisiana Tech
Total yards129528
Passing5 of 16, 43 yds17 of 22, 296 yds
Rushing45 for 86 yds37 for 232 yds
First downs723
Third down4 of 187 of 11
Fourth down0 of 11 of 1
Turnovers10
Penalties6 for 64 yds2 for 15 yds
Time of possession35:0824:52

Northwestern State leaders

  • Passing Abram Johnston 5 of 13, 43 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Sage Ingram 13 for 48 yds; Zach Wilcke 6 for 43 yds
  • Receiving Dylan Rhodes 2 for 25 yds; Zay Davis 2 for 11 yds

Louisiana Tech leaders

  • Passing Blake Baker 10 of 14, 232 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Trey Kukuk 5 for 50 yds; Dylone Brooks 6 for 48 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Jalen Mickens 3 for 133 yds, 1 TD; Eli Finley 4 for 52 yds, 1 TD

Feels like 86° to 102° through the game

94° at kickoff · feels like 86° to 102° · no rain recorded

A feels-like 102° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.

Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 71°This game: 102°0120°
Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 71°This game: 102°0120°

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 54 other games played at Joe Aillet Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 78°, with about 7 in 10 games between 74° and 82°.

September game-day temperatures at Joe Aillet Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Louisiana Tech favoredNorthwestern State favored100%Win chanceLouisiana TechRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airportTemperature and feels likedegrees F75°110°feels like 86°air 80°Thunder reported
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Louisiana Tech favoredNorthwestern State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airportTemperature and feels like · degrees F75°110°feels like 86°air 80°Thunder reported

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 15:00 left6:33 p.m.
Northwestern State 0, Louisiana Tech 0 · Louisiana Tech 99% to win
no rain · 92°, feels like 100°
Johnston 11-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Ruston airport, 4.1 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Northwestern State · 1-11

Rated 261st in our preseason ratings, 261st now.

Three straight losses.

L 14-62 vs Stephen F. Austin #69 of 667

lost by 48 as a 37.5-point underdog

L 21-26 @ Nicholls #202 of 667

lost by 5 as a 23.5-point underdog

L 3-38 vs Incarnate Word #160 of 667

lost by 35 as a 24.5-point underdog

L 3-50 @ McNeese #220 of 667

lost by 47 as a 16.5-point underdog

L 14-41 vs Lamar #139 of 667

lost by 27 as a 24.5-point underdog

L 0-49 @ SE Louisiana #106 of 667

lost by 49 as a 31-point underdog

L 17-20 @ Houston Christian #233 of 667

lost by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog

L 10-40 vs East Texas A&M #184 of 667

lost by 30 as a 7-point underdog

L 24-27 @ Prairie View A&M #192 of 667

lost by 3 as a 10.5-point underdog

L 0-70 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #42 of 667

lost by 70 as a 48.5-point underdog

Northwestern State lost 0-70 at Cincinnati. Never had a real chance.

L 0-66 @ Minnesota #23 of 667

lost by 66 as a 43-point underdog

Northwestern State lost 0-66 at Minnesota. Never had a real chance.

W 20-10 vs Alcorn State #195 of 667

won by 10 as a 10.5-point underdog

Last three games · 2025 season

Louisiana Tech · 8-5

Rated 88th in our preseason ratings.

W 23-14 vs Coastal Carolina #181 of 667

won by 9 as a 10-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 23-14 vs Coastal Carolina. Chance to win started at 79%, low 24%, high better than 99%.

W 42-30 @ Missouri State #140 of 667

won by 12 as a 2.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech won 42-30 at Missouri State. Chance to win started at 32%, low 27%, high 96%.

W 34-28 vs Liberty #122 of 667

won by 6 as a 1.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech won 34-28 vs Liberty. Chance to win started at 57%, low 2%, high better than 99%.

L 3-28 @ Washington State #59 of 667

lost by 25 as a 10.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech lost 3-28 at Washington State. Chance to win started at 17%, low under 1%, high 22%.

L 24-25 @ Delaware #157 of 667

lost by 1 as a 5.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech lost 24-25 at Delaware. Chance to win started at 57%, low under 1%, high 93%.

W 55-14 vs Sam Houston #227 of 667

won by 41 as a 16.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 55-14 vs Sam Houston. Chance to win started at 91%, low 91%, high better than 99%.

L 27-28 vs Western Kentucky #113 of 667

lost by 1 as a 4.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech lost 27-28 vs Western Kentucky. Chance to win started at 74%, low under 1%, high 96%.

L 7-35 @ Kennesaw State #124 of 667

lost by 28 as a 5.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech lost 7-35 at Kennesaw State. Chance to win started at 61%, low under 1%, high 84%.

W 30-11 @ UTEP #119 of 667

won by 19 as a 3.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 30-11 at UTEP. Chance to win started at 51%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

W 30-20 vs Southern Miss #111 of 667

won by 10 as a 3.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 30-20 vs Southern Miss. Chance to win started at 69%, low 66%, high better than 99%.

W 49-14 vs New Mexico State #217 of 667

won by 35 as a 10.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 49-14 vs New Mexico State. Chance to win started at 83%, low 75%, high better than 99%.

L 7-23 @ LSUTop 25 #11 of 667

lost by 16 as a 36.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech lost 7-23 at LSU. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.

W 24-0 vs SE Louisiana #167 of 667

won by 24 as a 14.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 24-0 vs SE Louisiana. Chance to win started at 87%, low 74%, high better than 99%.

The series

Louisiana Tech leads the series 9-2

11 meetings since 1975 · Louisiana Tech has won the last 2

Louisiana Tech wonNorthwestern State won1975: Louisiana Tech by 271976: Louisiana Tech by 291977: Louisiana Tech by 221978: Louisiana Tech by 251979: Northwestern State by 41980: Louisiana Tech by 41981: Louisiana Tech by 41994: Louisiana Tech by 102014: Northwestern State by 32017: Louisiana Tech by 282023: Louisiana Tech by 3019752023
  • 2023Louisiana Tech 51-21Louisiana Tech won 51-21 vs Northwestern State. Chance to win started at 92%, low 78%, high better than 99%.
  • 2017Louisiana Tech 52-24
  • 2014Northwestern State 30-27
  • 1994Louisiana Tech 38-28
  • 1981Louisiana Tech 37-33

Each line is Louisiana Tech’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Louisiana Tech’s chances here.

50-50Model · 90%Line · 100%Northwestern StateLouisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech favored by 44.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Louisiana Tech by 44.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Louisiana Tech.

opened −41.5now −44.5

The total rose 4 points.

opened 52.5now 56.5

Spread: −41.5 → −44.5 · Total: 52.5 → 56.5

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 92° at kickoff.

Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston

  • 92°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 61weather score, Rough
  • 2ndbest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Joe Aillet Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 78, against 61 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 41, Harsh
  • noon: 39, Harsh
  • 2:30 pm: 26, Harsh
  • 3:15 pm: 26, Harsh
  • 4 pm: 28, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 61, Rough (this game)
  • 7 pm: 78, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Louisiana Tech is worth +7.5 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 97th percentile.

61% at home, 27% on the road against FBS opponents (23-15 home, 14-37 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.4 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 60 miles to get here.

Where next