cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kam Davis /Florida State

Kam Davis

RB · Florida State · So · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

51 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 8 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Florida State → Liberty for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Liberty

2025Florida State
2026Liberty

RB · FLORIDA STATE · ACC

Kam Davis

  • 2
  • #3
  • 5-10 | 217 lb
  • Albany, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

26

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3331

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#98 national
CFB
College
Florida State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey3
Measurements5-10 | 217 lb
HometownAlbany, GA
Primary teamFlorida State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 98 recruit
Composite rating 0.9523 HighSchool
Signed with Florida State 2024
Origin Dougherty Albany, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9523 No. 98 recruit | HighSchool | Florida State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Liberty 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Florida State -> Liberty 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3331Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3672Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Florida State

Composite

0.9523

#98 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kam Davis

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "A lot of people are saying Norvell can't recruit , I don't find that true outsid"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kam Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
51Rush yards
8Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
17Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
221Rush yards
35Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 51): needs 69.9/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 51): needs 94.9/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 51): needs 144.9/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 10.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 10.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.9/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kam Davis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Florida State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3331 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 98 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 97 51 rush | 46 rec | #519/735 (30th pct)
Rush TD 1 8 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 6.4 Per-rush efficiency | #86/735 (88th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
8 25th
YDS
51 30th
YPC
6.4 88th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
3 33rd
YDS
46 46th
YPR
15.3 95th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 77-3vs East Texas A&M2136.5011
Wk 4W 66-10vs Kent State4307.5124Season-high 30 yds
Wk 12W 34-14vs Virginia Tech284.007
Total8516.0124
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Florida State5-7HC: Mike Norvell · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Florida State8516.41--
Career1 loaded season8516.41--
SeasonTeam
2025Florida State34615.30--
Career1 loaded season34615.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 3 46 rec yds | #371/552 (33rd pct)
Usage 5.0% 5.3% rush share | #539/738 (27th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 51 #519/735 30th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.4 #86/735 88th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 3 #371/552 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 46 #295/548 46th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 5.0% #539/738 27th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 24 #347/733 53rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 8 #558/739 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #114/540 79th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 15.3 #27/548 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 6.5% #379/738 49th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.7% #415/738 44th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.6% #524/738 29th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 5.3% #622/738 16th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 4.6% #580/738 22nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.3% #208/738 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.1% #607/738 18th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home3g17.06.00.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g17.06.00.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-72g21.57.00.5
Weeks 8+1g8.04.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

26Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (90th). Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#31 / 349 · 91st pct
6.4rush
Rec yards#251 / 338 · 26th pct
46rece
Long run#282 / 349 · 19th pct
24rush
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Receptions#305 / 338 · 8th pct
3rece
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
51rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
8rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Kam DavisFlorida StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 45% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 45% simKamari MoultonIowa· 44% sim
Yards / carry
91
Davis
41
Brunson
71
Cobb
62
Moulton
Rec yards
26
Davis
3
Brunson
47
Cobb
53
Moulton
Long run
19
Davis
73
Brunson
51
Cobb
33
Moulton
Rush TDs
13
Davis
50
Brunson
62
Cobb
62
Moulton
Receptions
8
Davis
2
Brunson
45
Cobb
63
Moulton
Rush yards
0
Davis
80
Brunson
88
Cobb
84
Moulton
Carries
0
Davis
85
Brunson
88
Cobb
86
Moulton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Norvell

Pass share

40.3%

339 pass / 502 run

Plays / game

70.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.5%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mike Norvell
Florida State

Played his entire career under Mike Norvell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAlbany, GA
Height5'10"
Weight217 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida State RB2 #3331 #3672 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida State ACC RB 2 No. 3 | 5-10 | 217 lb | Albany, GA
2024 Florida State ACC RB 2 No. 3 | 5-10 | 217 lb | Albany, GA