cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Terron Kellman /Wyoming

Terron Kellman

RB · Wyoming · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

331 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 65 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Wyoming for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Wyoming for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Wyoming

Returning around him

  • 77% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (19 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Wyoming · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #117 · 2026 recruiting class #89

RB · WYOMING · MOUNTAIN WEST

Terron Kellman

  • 3
  • #5
  • 5-8 | 210 lb
  • Clinton, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

38

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 58th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1235

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
3282023
2422024
3312025

+1%

Modest growth (1%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1414 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements5-8 | 210 lb
HometownClinton, MD
Primary teamWyoming

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1414 recruit
Composite rating 0.8444 HighSchool
Signed with Northern Illinois 2022
Origin St. Frances Academy Baltimore, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8444 No. 1414 recruit | HighSchool | Northern Illinois

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1235Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1878Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Northern Illinois

Composite

0.8444

#1414 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Terron Kellman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Terron Kellman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
331Rush yards
65Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
33.1Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
430.3Rush yards
84Carries
5Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 331): needs 139.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 331): needs 223/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 331): needs 389.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Terron Kellman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wyoming, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1235 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 383 331 rush | 52 rec | #245/735 (67th pct)
Rush TD 4 65 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 5.1 Per-rush efficiency | #257/735 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
65 65th
YDS
331 67th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
52 50th
YPR
10.4 80th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 10-0@ Akron252.503
Wk 2W 31-7vs Northern Iowa78712.4033Season-high 87 yds
Wk 3L 6-31vs Utah9455.0115
Wk 4L 20-37@ Colorado5-1-0.203
Wk 6L 17-31vs UNLV263.006
Wk 7W 35-28vs San José State6427.0128
Wk 8L 21-24@ Air Force9839.2223
Wk 9W 28-0vs Colorado State10353.509
Wk 10L 7-24@ San Diego State11191.705
Wk 12L 3-24@ Fresno State4102.509
Total653314.7433
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Charlotte3-9HC: Biff Poggi · Run-leaning
2024Charlotte5-7HC: Biff Poggi · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Wyoming4-8HC: Jay Sawvel · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wyoming653315.14--
2024Charlotte482425.00--
2023Charlotte823284.01--
Career3 loaded seasons1959014.65--
SeasonTeam
2025Wyoming55210.40--
2024Charlotte188.00--
2023Charlotte22311.50--
Career3 loaded seasons88310.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 52 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 10.4% 18.1% rush share | #306/738 (59th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.21 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #52/362 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 331 #245/735 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #257/735 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 52 #276/548 50th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.21 #52/362 86th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 62 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 10.4% #306/738 59th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 65 #257/739 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 33 #282/733 62nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 28 #138/540 75th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.4 #111/548 80th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 18.1% #288/738 61st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.5% #288/738 61st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 10.6% #334/738 55th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.5% #337/738 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 10.2% #193/738 74th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.2% #329/738 56th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.0% #306/738 59th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g43.06.20.4
Road5g23.23.10.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g42.26.30.2
Losses6g27.03.50.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g30.75.00.3
Weeks 8+4g36.84.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

38Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (17th).

Yards / carry#139 / 349 · 58th pct
5.1rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Long run#236 / 349 · 32nd pct
33rush
Rec yards#235 / 338 · 30th pct
52rece
Rush yards#245 / 349 · 30th pct
331rush
Carries#257 / 349 · 26th pct
65rush
Receptions#269 / 338 · 18th pct
5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.21High (p75–p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Terron KellmanWyomingTae MeadowsTroy· 67% simSire GainesBoise State· 65% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 65% sim
Yards / carry
58
Kellman
29
Meadows
53
Gaines
71
Cobb
Rush TDs
50
Kellman
72
Meadows
84
Gaines
62
Cobb
Long run
32
Kellman
53
Meadows
51
Gaines
51
Cobb
Rec yards
30
Kellman
38
Meadows
41
Gaines
47
Cobb
Rush yards
30
Kellman
74
Meadows
82
Gaines
88
Cobb
Carries
26
Kellman
84
Meadows
84
Gaines
88
Cobb
Receptions
18
Kellman
45
Meadows
45
Gaines
45
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Nelson Smith’s 2020 season.

Nelson Smith

78%match

Navy · 2020

#2

Tawee Walker

Oklahoma · 2023

78%
#3

Ty Son Lawton

Indiana · 2024

75%
#4

Treyson Potts

Minnesota · 2021

72%
#5

Makenzie McGill

North Texas · 2025

70%

Matches Nelson on

Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Weight

Differs from Nelson on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kaelon Black's junior season at Indiana (2024).

Kaelon Black

72%match

Indiana · 2024

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 26
#2

Jamious Griffin

Oregon State · 2022

71%
#3

Quinton Cooley

Wake Forest · 2022

All-Conference USA
68%
#4

Ryan Montgomery

Cincinnati · 2022

68%
#5

Jaquez Moore

Duke · 2023

68%

Matches Kaelon on

Receiving share
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Kaelon on

Class year (lower)
Height (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Sawvel

Pass share

49.8%

383 pass / 386 run

Plays / game

64.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

332 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Craig Bohl
Wyoming
2024
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming
era →
2025
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming

Coaching transition mid-career: Craig Bohl → Jay Sawvel. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownClinton, MD
Height5'8"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Charlotte RB3 #1235 #1878 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Charlotte RB3 #2734 #3513 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Northern Illinois RB3 #4479 #4910 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wyoming Mountain West RB 3 No. 5 | 5-8 | 210 lb | Clinton, MD
2024 Charlotte American Athletic RB 3 No. 5 | 5-8 | 210 lb | Clinton, MD
2023 Charlotte American Athletic RB 3 No. 5 | 5-8 | 210 lb | Clinton, MD
2022 Northern Illinois Mid-American RB 3 No. 5 | 5-8 | 210 lb | Clinton, MD