CFB Zeitgeist Score
5
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 13th percentile.
Peyton Jones
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
34 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 10 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Duke for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Duke
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30
RB · DUKE · ACC
Peyton Jones
- 3
- #5
- 5-10 | 195 lb
- Norfolk, VA
Heisman Heat
#184
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-53%
Sharp dropoff (-53%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Duke
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Peyton Jones
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Peyton Jones
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 4g
34Rush yards
10Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
8.5Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
110.5Rush yards
32Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 34): needs 79.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 34): needs 107.3/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 34): needs 162.9/game over remaining 9.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.1/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Peyton Jones's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Duke, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
10 27th
YDS
34 23rd
YPC
3.4 20th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
23 33rd
YPR
7.7 59th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-17vs Elon | 6 | 28 | 4.7 | 1 | 8 | Season-high 28 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 19-45vs Illinois | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | L 27-34@ Tulane | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-33vs NC State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 10 | 34 | 2.2 | 1 | 8 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 34 | #566/735 | 23rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.4 | #591/735 | 20th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 23 | #369/548 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #156/362 | 57th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 81 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.7% | #395/738 | 47th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 10 | #537/739 | 27th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 8 | #609/733 | 17th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 13 | #347/540 | 36th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.7 | #224/548 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 87 | #67/200 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 21.8 | #59/199 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 4 | #69/206 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 14.1% | #376/738 | 49th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.8% | #311/738 | 58th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.1% | #288/738 | 61st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.5% | #449/738 | 39th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.5% | #479/738 | 35th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.3% | #378/738 | 49th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.0% | #231/738 | 69th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 9.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Road1g | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 14.0 | 4.7 | 0.5 |
| Losses2g | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 8.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
5Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Peyton JonesDukeTae MeadowsTroy· 45% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 44% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 44% sim
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Receptions
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Long run
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Manny Diaz
Pass share
53.3%
506 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
67.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
2024era →
Manny Diaz
Duke
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke
Coaching transition mid-career: Trooper Taylor → Manny Diaz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNorfolk, VA
Height5'10"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamDuke
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.