cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Branson Robinson /Georgia State

Branson Robinson

RB · Georgia State · Jr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

148 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 46 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Georgia State

Returning around him

  • 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Georgia State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia State · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #77 · 2026 recruiting class #67

RB · GEORGIA STATE · SUN BELT

Branson Robinson

  • 3
  • #22
  • 5-10 | 211 lb
  • Canton, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

14

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 53rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#398

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
3302022
73.02024
1482025

-55%

Sharp dropoff (-55%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#62 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey22
Measurements5-10 | 211 lb
HometownCanton, MS
Primary teamGeorgia State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 62 recruit
Composite rating 0.9729 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia 2022
Origin Germantown Madison, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9729 No. 62 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Georgia State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 30, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Georgia -> Georgia State 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#398Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#368Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Georgia

Composite

0.9729

#62 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Branson Robinson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "How former Georgia RB Branson Robinson fared at Georgia State in 2025 &nbsp;&nbs"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Branson Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
148Rush yards
46Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
13.5Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
174.9Rush yards
54Carries
1Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 148): needs 301/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 148): needs 426/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 148): needs 676/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 7/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 9.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Branson Robinson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #398 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 62 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 170 148 rush | 22 rec | #377/735 (49th pct)
Rush TD 1 46 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 3.2 Per-rush efficiency | #611/735 (17th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
46 56th
YDS
148 49th
YPC
3.2 17th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
22 32nd
YPR
4.4 19th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-63@ Ole Miss591.805
Wk 2L 16-38vs Memphis551.005
Wk 3W 37-21vs Murray State8658.1047Season-high 65 yds
Wk 4L 21-70@ Vanderbilt242.006
Wk 6L 7-14vs James Madison252.505
Wk 7L 20-41vs App State6152.507
Wk 8L 24-41@ Georgia Southern3-6-2.000
Wk 9L 31-38vs South Alabama4143.505
Wk 11L 27-40@ Coastal Carolina221.001
Wk 12L 18-30vs Marshall221.002
Wk 13L 19-31@ Troy7334.7110
Total461482.4147
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Georgia15-0HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2024Georgia11-3HC: Kirby Smart · Pass-leaning
2025Georgia State1-11HC: Dell McGee · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia State461483.21--
2024Georgia25732.93--
2022Georgia683304.93--
Career3 loaded seasons1395514.07--
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia State5224.40--
2024Georgia6335.50--
2022Georgia122.00--
Career3 loaded seasons12574.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 22 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 6.7% 14.8% rush share | #458/738 (38th pct)
Rushing WEPA -0.07 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #361/362 (1st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 148 #377/735 49th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.2 #611/735 17th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 22 #373/548 32nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA -0.07 #361/362 1st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 39 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 6.7% #458/738 38th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 47 #187/733 75th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 46 #324/739 56th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 7 #455/540 16th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 4.4 #444/548 19th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 14.8% #355/738 52nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 9.6% #367/738 50th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.7% #393/738 47th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.2% #553/738 25th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 2.9% #574/738 22nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.6% #569/738 23rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.2% #480/738 35th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g17.73.10.0
Road5g8.41.50.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g65.08.10.0
Losses10g8.31.80.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g17.23.00.0
Weeks 8+5g9.01.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

14Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush yards (1st).

Long run#163 / 349 · 53rd pct
47rush
Receptions#269 / 338 · 18th pct
5rece
Rec yards#289 / 338 · 14th pct
22rece
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Carries#325 / 349 · 7th pct
46rush
Yards / carry#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
3.2rush
Rush yards#343 / 349 · 2nd pct
148rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing-0.07Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Branson RobinsonGeorgia StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 53% simTae MeadowsTroy· 51% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 50% sim
Long run
53
Robinson
73
Brunson
53
Meadows
49
Wright
Receptions
18
Robinson
2
Brunson
45
Meadows
32
Wright
Rec yards
14
Robinson
3
Brunson
38
Meadows
10
Wright
Rush TDs
13
Robinson
50
Brunson
72
Meadows
62
Wright
Carries
7
Robinson
85
Brunson
84
Meadows
92
Wright
Yards / carry
3
Robinson
41
Brunson
29
Meadows
33
Wright
Rush yards
2
Robinson
80
Brunson
74
Meadows
84
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to C.J. Stokes’s 2025 season.

C.J. Stokes

66%match

Charlotte · 2025

#2

Jordan Simmons

Michigan State · 2021

60%
#3

Rodrigues Clark

Memphis · 2020

59%
#4

Terrion Avery

South Alabama · 2020

59%
#5

Jamale Carothers

Navy · 2020

56%

Matches C.J. on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)

Differs from C.J. on

Yards / reception (lower)
Weight (higher)
Yards / carry (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Darius Wilson’s path through William & Mary.

Darius Wilson

95%match

William & Mary · 2024

#2

Shadrick Byrd

Charlotte · 2023

91%
#3

Bryson Donnell

UTSA · 2025

90%
#4

King Doerue

Purdue · 2022

89%
#5

Cam Porter

Northwestern · 2025

88%

Matches Darius on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Parker Jenkins's junior season at East Carolina (2025).

Parker Jenkins

70%match

East Carolina · 2025

#2

Micah Kelly

Toledo · 2022

66%
#3

Kalib Hicks

Oklahoma State · 2025

59%
#4

Jaylen Thomas

Kent State · 2023

59%
#5

Jordan Lovett

Troy · 2025

60%

Matches Parker on

Yards / carry
Height
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Parker on

EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dell McGee

Pass share

56.5%

472 pass / 363 run

Plays / game

69.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Shawn Elliott
Georgia State
2024
Dell McGee
Georgia State
era →
2025
Dell McGee
Georgia State

Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Elliott → Dell McGee. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCanton, MS
Height5'10"
Weight211 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia RB3 #398 #368 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Georgia RB3 #1473 #950 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Georgia RB3 #349 #233 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia State Sun Belt RB 3 No. 22 | 5-10 | 211 lb | Canton, MS
2024 Georgia SEC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-10 | 211 lb | Canton, MS
2023 Georgia SEC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-10 | 211 lb | Canton, MS
2022 Georgia SEC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-10 | 211 lb | Canton, MS