Kent State

1-1

Mid-American · Mark Carney, year 2 (6-8) · Dix Stadium · 25,319 · 7,887 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#115 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #137 (-27.5) · FPI #136
The marketOhio State by 53at Ohio State · our model 2% Kent State · a number, not a pick

LastW 36–15 vs Wofford · Sat Sep 12 · Jaihien Roy 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 1 INT

Nextat Ohio State · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Ohio Stadium · Ohio State by 53 · series 0-3, lost the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
18.0
Pts allowed/game
36.0
Total yards/gm#121 / 138 · 13th pct
313.5
Rush yards/gm#93 / 138 · 33rd pct
147.5
Pass yards/gmT-#115 / 138 · 17th pct
166.0
Yards allowed/gm#108 / 138 · 22nd pct
409.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#105 / 138 · 24th pct
168.0
SacksT-#20 / 138 · 80th pct
6
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down convT-#43 / 138 · 69th pct
48.5%
All 85 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
627313.5/gm5.22/play#121 / 138 · 13th pct#66 / 70 · 6th pct#10 / 13 · 27th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
818409.0/gm6.54/play#108 / 138 · 22nd pct#65 / 70 · 8th pct#7 / 13 · 50th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
295147.5/gm2.46/play#93 / 138 · 33rd pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#7 / 13 · 50th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
336168.0/gm2.69/play#105 / 138 · 24th pct#65 / 70 · 8th pct#8 / 13 · 42nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6934.5/gmT-#84 / 138 · 38th pctT-#44 / 70 · 37th pctT-#7 / 13 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6532.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 62nd pctT-#33 / 70 · 49th pct#4 / 13 · 73rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#77 / 138 · 34th pctT-#45 / 70 · 29th pctT-#4 / 13 · 58th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#120 / 138 · 12th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pctT-#10 / 13 · 23rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
332166.0/gm2.77/playT-#115 / 138 · 17th pct#65 / 70 · 8th pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
482241.0/gm3.86/playT-#100 / 138 · 28th pctT-#55 / 70 · 21st pct#5 / 13 · 65th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5125.5/gmT-#98 / 138 · 29th pctT-#56 / 70 · 20th pct#9 / 13 · 35th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6030.0/gmT-#69 / 138 · 49th pctT-#38 / 70 · 46th pct#4 / 13 · 73rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3115.5/gmT-#102 / 138 · 25th pctT-#58 / 70 · 16th pct#9 / 13 · 35th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4020.0/gmT-#90 / 138 · 34th pctT-#51 / 70 · 26th pctT-#5 / 13 · 62nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#114 / 138 · 11th pctT-#60 / 70 · 9th pctT-#11 / 13 · 15th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#103 / 138 · 19th pctT-#62 / 70 · 9th pctT-#5 / 13 · 54th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Passer rating
Team
114.1114.1#100 / 115 · 13th pct#57 / 60 · 6th pct#9 / 13 · 38th pct
Opp
146.1146.1#71 / 91 · 23rd pct#39 / 42 · 8th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#10 / 13 · 31st pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
31.5/gmT-#8 / 138 · 89th pctT-#5 / 70 · 91st pctT-#1 / 13 · 88th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 70 · 29th pctT-#9 / 13 · 27th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 70 · 78th pctT-#1 / 13 · 92nd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#9 / 138 · 86th pctT-#6 / 70 · 82nd pctT-#1 / 13 · 92nd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
105.0/gmT-#79 / 138 · 38th pctT-#45 / 70 · 31st pctT-#5 / 13 · 58th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#30 / 138 · 76th pctT-#18 / 70 · 69th pct#3 / 13 · 81st pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3115.5/gmT-#121 / 138 · 11th pct#65 / 70 · 8th pctT-#10 / 13 · 23rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4522.5/gmT-#109 / 138 · 20th pctT-#63 / 70 · 9th pct#8 / 13 · 42nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
168.0/gmT-#16 / 138 · 88th pctT-#8 / 70 · 88th pct#1 / 13 · 96th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#29 / 138 · 76th pctT-#20 / 70 · 67th pct#3 / 13 · 81st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
3316.5/gmT-#17 / 138 · 86th pctT-#4 / 70 · 91st pct#4 / 13 · 73rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2010.0/gmT-#6 / 138 · 95th pctT-#2 / 70 · 97th pctT-#2 / 13 · 85th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 70 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 91st pctT-#1 / 70 · 89th pctT-#1 / 13 · 88th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 70 · 44th pctT-#5 / 13 · 50th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 99th pctT-#1 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 13 · 96th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
62:3531:18/gmT-#59 / 138 · 57th pct#30 / 70 · 58th pct#7 / 13 · 50th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
57:2528:42/gmT-#50 / 138 · 64th pct#30 / 70 · 58th pct#5 / 13 · 65th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.49 EPA/play12228 / 4562.23116.912118.74567.4
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.72 EPA/play6269315.5158
+0.90 EPA/play8278712.4040

2026 stat leaders · Kent State

through 2 games

Rocco Nicholl leads Kent State with 13 tackles through 2 games.

1. Rocco Nicholl LB 13 tackles
2. Atiq Muhammad DB 12 tackles
3. Hayden Dawahare LB 10 tackles
4. Sayed Abuhamdeh LB 9 tackles
5. Josue Cordoba DL 1 sacks
How They Play · 2025

Kent State fields a struggling explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense.

Offense
14th pct EPA/play
Tempo
92nd pct explosiveness
Defense
24th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Kent State · 2025

Kent State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 9%) and passing epa (top 48%); the crux lives in rushing epa, where Kent State sits at the 4th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.06
14th
Success Rate +0.34
4th
Explosive Plays +1.38
92nd
Rushing EPA -0.05
4th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.19
24th
Success Rate Allowed +0.44
21st
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.27
45th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.28
34th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.26
53rd
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.12
36th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Kent State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Kent State is worth +9.3 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs

45% at home, 19% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (14–17 home, 10–42 away). Interval ±4.5.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Kent State has beaten the number by +3.6 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±6.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Dix Stadium seats 25,319 and has averaged 41% full (10,419, 20 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 183 miles trip since 2018, the 5th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. Whatever the band above is picking up, it isn't the flight. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 36% of the 2026 roster (38 of 106 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 38 home games since 2018.

Home14–17Away10–42Edge+9.3 ±4.5Visitor trip183 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Kent State’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Clay Patterson (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 36% → 2026: 26% · 10-pt range · #86 of 184 · a typical amount
Defense: Cherokee Valeria (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 36% → 2026: 26% · 10-pt range · #99 of 203 · a typical amount
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Kent State

CFB Zeitgeist

#115

-4.6

SP+

#137

-27.5

FPI

#136

-21.2

Elo

#137

1035

The national models put Kent State between 136th and 137th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 115th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Kent State

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

57°F average kickoff temp; 25% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.

Based on 61 home games with weather data.

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