cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Arvell Reese /Ohio State

Arvell Reese

LB · Ohio State · Jr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

69 TACKLES · 6.5 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by New York — Rd 1, Pick 5, #5 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

New York2026 NFL rookie season

#5Rd 1 · Pick 5
New York2026 NFL rookie season

LB · OHIO STATE · BIG TEN

Arvell Reese

  • 3
  • #8
  • 6-4 | 243 lb
  • Cleveland, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

89

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3960

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#213 national
CFB
College
Ohio State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 &middot; #5
New York &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey8
Measurements6-4 | 243 lb
HometownCleveland, OH
Primary teamOhio State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 213 recruit
Composite rating 0.9214 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2023
Origin Glenville Cleveland, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9214 No. 213 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3960Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3542Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (AFCA).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Ohio State

Composite

0.9214

#213 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 1, Pick 5

#5 overall · New York

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Arvell Reese

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Arvell Reese

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
69Tackles
10Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Final
69Tackles
10Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 6.5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Arvell Reese is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Ohio State's defense, with 6.5 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #3960 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 213 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 69 34 solo | #280/4942 (94th pct)
TFL 10.0 Backfield disruption | #103/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 6.5 Pass-rush finish | #55/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
69 94th
SOLO
34 92nd
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
6.5 99th
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 14-7vs Texas941.01.00
Wk 2W 70-0vs Grambling410.00.00
Wk 3W 37-9vs Ohio721.01.02
Wk 5W 24-6@ Washington530.00.00
Wk 6W 42-3vs Minnesota411.01.00
Wk 7W 34-16@ Illinois981.51.50
Wk 8W 34-0@ Wisconsin442.01.00
Wk 10W 38-14vs Penn State1252.51.00Season-high 12 tackles
Wk 11W 34-10@ Purdue111.00.00
Wk 12W 48-10vs UCLA310.00.00
Wk 13W 42-9vs Rutgers100.00.00
Wk 14W 27-9@ Michigan210.00.00
Wk 15L 10-13vs Indiana100.00.00
BowlL 14-24vs Miami730.00.00
Total693410.06.52
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Ohio State12-2HC: Ryan Day · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio State693410.06.52----
Career1 loaded season693410.06.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 69 #280/4942 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.0 #103/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 6.5 #55/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 34 #386/4584 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

CONSENSUS AA

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

CONSENSUS AA · Rung 13 of 16

Why he’s here

Consensus All-American — 1st team on at least three of the five NCAA selectors.

What moves him up

Sweep the remaining selectors for Unanimous status.

What moves him down

Fall below three selectors and this returns to plain All-American.

Accolade streams

All-America statusCONSENSUS

Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.

AP1st
FWAA1st
AFCA1st
WCFF1st
SN1st
SI1st

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home9g5.30.60.40.2
Road5g4.20.90.50.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins12g5.10.80.50.2
Losses2g4.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.40.60.60.3
Weeks 8+7g3.40.80.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

89All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (97th). Strength: tackles for loss (96th).

Sacks#55 / 2975 · 98th pct
6.5defe
Tackles for loss#103 / 2975 · 96th pct
10.0defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Tackles#280 / 2975 · 90th pct
69defe
Solo tackles#386 / 2975 · 87th pct
34defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Arvell ReeseOhio StateKeyshaun ElliottArizona State· 94% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 93% simKaleb Elarms-OrrTCU· 93% sim
Sacks
98
Reese
98
Elliott
97
Harris
93
Elarms-Orr
Tackles for loss
96
Reese
99
Elliott
91
Harris
97
Elarms-Orr
QB hurries
92
Reese
88
Elliott
97
Harris
95
Elarms-Orr
Tackles
90
Reese
98
Elliott
99
Harris
100
Elarms-Orr
Solo tackles
87
Reese
98
Elliott
98
Harris
99
Elarms-Orr
Passes defended
67
Reese
67
Elliott
67
Harris
67
Elarms-Orr

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Payton Wilson’s 2022 season.

Payton Wilson

75%match

NC State · 2022

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 35
#2

Joshua Carr Jr.

Southern Miss · 2021

74%
#3

Isaiah Glasker

BYU · 2025

71%
#4

Christian Alliegro

Wisconsin · 2025

71%
#5

Michael Rose

Iowa State · 2021

71%

Matches Payton on

Tackle volume
PD rate
Class year

Differs from Payton on

Sack rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Trenton Simpson's sophomore season at Clemson (2021).

Trenton Simpson

80%match

Clemson · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 23
#2

Tre Smith

San José State · 2023

All-Mountain West
75%
#3

Noah Taylor

Virginia · 2021

74%
#4

Ryan Selig

Western Michigan · 2021

72%
#5

T.J. Bush

Liberty · 2024

72%

Matches Trenton on

PD rate
Weight
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Day

Pass share

47.0%

408 pass / 461 run

Plays / game

62.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ryan Day
Ohio State

Played his entire career under Ryan Day.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCleveland, OH
Height6'4"
Weight243 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

11 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2025)

8 first-team selectors

🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

9 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-America (USA Today) all_america USA Today LB
2025 All-America (SI) all_america SI LB
2025 All-America (ESPN) all_america ESPN LB
2025 All-America (CBS) all_america CBS LB
2025 All-America (The Athletic) all_america The Athletic LB
2025 All-America (WCFF) all_america WCFF LB
2025 All-America (AP) all_america AP LB
2025 All-America (AFCA) all_america AFCA LB
2025 All-America (Consensus) all_america Ohio State | Consensus --
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Ohio State | Big Ten LB
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Ohio State | Big Ten BUTK

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio State LB3 #3960 #3542 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Ohio State LB3 #4948 #4524 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio State Big Ten LB 3 No. 8 | 6-4 | 243 lb | Cleveland, OH
2024 Ohio State Big Ten LB 3 No. 8 | 6-4 | 243 lb | Cleveland, OH
2023 Ohio State Big Ten LB 3 No. 8 | 6-4 | 243 lb | Cleveland, OH