CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 61st percentile.
Alton McCaskill
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
371 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 88 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Sam Houston for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Sam Houston
Returning around him
- 90% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +5 net (20 in / 15 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Sam Houston · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #123 · 2026 recruiting class #122
RB · SAM HOUSTON · CONFERENCE USA
Alton McCaskill
- 4
- #22
- 6-2 | 210 lb
- Conroe, TX
Heisman Heat
#1554
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR03 · Backup
Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
★
2021
Houston · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2023
Colorado · RB
—
2025
Sam Houston · RB
—
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025-61%
Sharp dropoff (-61%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8893 | No. 406 recruit | HighSchool | Houston |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State -> Sam Houston | 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Colorado -> Arizona State | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Houston -> Colorado | 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Houston
Composite
0.8893
#406 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Alton McCaskill
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Alton McCaskill
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
371Rush yards
88Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
46.4Rush yards
11Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
602.9Rush yards
143Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 371): needs 75.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 371): needs 125.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 371): needs 225.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Alton McCaskill already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
88 74th
YDS
371 70th
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
9 57th
YDS
66 57th
YPR
7.3 56th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-41@ Western Kentucky | 11 | 72 | 6.5 | 1 | 52 | |
| Wk 6 | L 10-37@ New Mexico State | 12 | 38 | 3.2 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 7 | L 27-29vs Jacksonville State | 14 | 87 | 6.2 | 0 | 34 | Season-high 87 yds |
| Wk 8 | L 17-35vs UTEP | 11 | 52 | 4.7 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | W 21-17@ Oregon State | 7 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 12 | W 26-23vs Delaware | 14 | 46 | 3.3 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-31@ Middle Tennessee | 11 | 42 | 3.8 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 14 | L 16-56vs Florida International | 8 | 32 | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Total | 88 | 371 | 4.0 | 1 | 52 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Houston11-2HC: Dana Holgorsen · Balanced
2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Sam Houston2-10HC: Phil Longo · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston | 88 | 371 | 4.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Colorado | 14 | 59 | 4.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Houston | 189 | 961 | 5.1 | 16 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 291 | 1,391 | 4.8 | 17 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston | 9 | 66 | 7.3 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Colorado | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Houston | 21 | 113 | 5.4 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 32 | 198 | 6.2 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 371 | #222/735 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #455/735 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 9 | #236/552 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 66 | #239/548 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.06 | #279/362 | 23rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 79 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 20.0% | #95/738 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 88 | #192/739 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 52 | #153/733 | 79th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 15 | #296/540 | 45th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.3 | #241/548 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 41.3% | #56/738 | 93rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 25.2% | #73/738 | 90th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 25.0% | #83/738 | 89th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 19.3% | #105/738 | 86th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.6% | #154/738 | 79th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.9% | #206/738 | 72nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.1% | #227/738 | 69th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 54.2 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 38.5 | 3.5 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 24.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| Losses6g | 53.8 | 4.7 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 65.7 | 5.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 34.8 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
33Below cohort
Concern: rush tds (12th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Alton McCaskillSam HoustonTae MeadowsTroy· 69% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 67% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 66% sim
Long run
Carries
Rec yards
Rush yards
Receptions
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cam Davis’s 2021 season.
Cam Davis
73%match
#2
Stephen Carr
69%
#3
Jamoni Jones
68%
#4
Ellis Merriweather
68%
#5
Star Thomas
67%
Matches Cam on
Weight
Rush TD rate
Class year
Differs from Cam on
Receiving share (lower)
Height (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
Gerrid Doaks
88%match
All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2
Kyle Porter
87%
#3
Ofa Mataele
86%
#4
Cam Davis
84%
#5
Darius Wilson
83%
Matches Gerrid on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Mcdonald's senior season at Boston College (2025).
Jordan Mcdonald
74%match
#2
Aveon Smith
72%
#3
Dominic Richardson
70%
#4
Donovan Edwards
69%
#5
Marcus Major
68%
Matches Jordan on
Yards / reception
Yards / carry
Receiving share
Differs from Jordan on
Rush TD rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Phil Longo
Pass share
51.3%
388 pass / 368 run
Plays / game
63.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
—
Sam Houston
2023era →
K.C. Keeler
Sam Houston
2025era →
Phil Longo
Sam Houston
Coaching transition mid-career: K.C. Keeler → Phil Longo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownConroe, TX
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey22
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSam Houston
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2021)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | All-AAC | all_conference | Houston | AAC | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arizona State | RB4 | #1554 | #1474 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Colorado | RB4 | #2240 | #2582 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | Houston | RB4 | #3174 | #2973 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2021 | Houston | RB4 | #125 | #150 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Conroe, TX |
| 2024 | Arizona State | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Conroe, TX |
| 2023 | Colorado | Pac-12 | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Conroe, TX |
| 2022 | Houston | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Conroe, TX |
| 2021 | Houston | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Conroe, TX |