Tulsa at Sam Houston

Away
Tulsa
1-0 W2 · Warming
Home
Sam Houston
0-1 L4 · Cold
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00 PM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Fan take

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

Tulsa · 4-8

Picked #107 in the preseason · now #144.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 1-point win over Army as a 9.5-point underdog.

L 24–31 vs UAB #161 of 668

lost by 7 as a 9.5-point favorite

W 26–25 @ Army #100 of 668

won by 1 as a 9.5-point underdog

W 31–14 vs Oregon State #149 of 668

won by 17 as a 1-point favorite

L 21–40 @ Florida Atlantic #117 of 668

lost by 19 as a 4.5-point underdog

L 37–38 vs Temple #84 of 668

lost by 1 as a 5-point underdog

L 27–41 @ East Carolina #61 of 668

lost by 14 as a 16.5-point underdog

L 7–45 @ MemphisTop 25 #46 of 668

lost by 38 as a 21.5-point underdog

L 14–31 vs TulaneTop 25 #63 of 668

lost by 17 as a 14.5-point underdog

W 19–12 @ Oklahoma State #102 of 668

won by 7 as a 10-point underdog

L 23–42 vs NavyTop 25 #28 of 668

lost by 19 as a 13.5-point underdog

L 14–21 @ New Mexico State #250 of 668

lost by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 35–7 vs Abilene Christian #134 of 668

won by 28 as a 5.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Sam Houston · 2-10

Picked #163 in the preseason · now #150 — better than expected.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 3-point win over Delaware as a 13.5-point underdog.

L 16–56 vs Florida International #97 of 668

lost by 40 as a 10.5-point underdog

L 17–31 @ Middle Tennessee #184 of 668

lost by 14 as a 7-point underdog

W 26–23 vs Delaware #152 of 668

won by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 21–17 @ Oregon State #136 of 668

won by 4 as a 21.5-point underdog

L 14–55 @ Louisiana Tech #104 of 668

lost by 41 as a 16.5-point underdog

L 17–35 vs UTEP #162 of 668

lost by 18 as a 3.5-point underdog

L 27–29 vs Jacksonville State #86 of 668

lost by 2 as a 7-point underdog

L 10–37 @ New Mexico State #227 of 668

lost by 27 as a 2-point favorite

L 0–55 @ TexasTop 25 #5 of 668

lost by 55 as a 39.5-point underdog

L 20–37 @ Hawai'i #96 of 668

lost by 17 as a 7.5-point underdog

L 21–38 vs UNLV #100 of 668

lost by 17 as a 9-point underdog

L 24–41 @ Western Kentucky #116 of 668

lost by 17 as a 9.5-point underdog

What’s at stake

Make the CFP field

Tulsa · 1%1% → 0% if win1% → 0% if loss
Sam Houston · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

Win the conference

Tulsa · 10%10% → 4% if win10% → 3% if loss
Sam Houston · 4%4% → 5% if win4% → 4% if loss

Win it all

Tulsa · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss
Sam Houston · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

CFP odds as of September 13, 2026

The series

Tulsa leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 2009 · Tulsa has won the last 2

  • 2026Tulsa 23–17
  • 2009Tulsa 56–3

Best players

Tulsa

Sam Houston

The line, and the room

Tulsa fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (96th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.

  • Model · 38%
  • Market · 16%
  • Sam Houston fans · 77th
  • Tulsa fans · 96th

Home +12.5 · O/U 51.5

Conditions

86°F · 10 mph wind · Light Rain

Sam Houston is worth +8.1 points (±5.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile.

62% at home, 24% on the road against FBS opponents (8–5 home, 5–16 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 376 miles to get here.

Tulsa 23 – Sam Houston 17

Sam Houston 17: 42%Tulsa 23: 57%

Called it — picked Tulsa to win.

Recent games

Sam Houston

  • Wk 1Lat Troy21-24

Tulsa

  • Wk 1Wvs Oklahoma State24-10

Trajectory

-3.64-5.95-8.26Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2TulsaSam Houston

Tulsa beat Sam Houston 23-17 — exactly what the pregame pick had.