Tulsa routs East Texas A&M 42-0

East Texas A&M1-30
Tulsa3-042Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Okla. · Crowd 16,288ESPN+

Tulsa routed East Texas A&M 42-0.

We had Tulsa favored. It won.

Next: East Texas A&M lost to McNeese 27-24, Sat Sep 26

Next: Tulsa lost to Arkansas 34-6, Sat Sep 26

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Tulsa an 88% chance, and the closing betting line (Tulsa was a 41.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Tulsa led by 7 after the first quarter and by 14 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+42+42
Kickoff return TDTulsa · Q3 14:49
FinalTulsa 42-0 East Texas A&MTulsa wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4TulsaWon42-0ScoresKickoff return TD
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4TulsaWon42-0ScoresKickoff return TD
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4TulsaLowest 0%Lost0-42ScoresKickoff return TD
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4TulsaLowest 0%Lost0-42ScoresKickoff return TD

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Tulsa’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Tulsa -41.5), at 99% for Tulsa (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Every drive

Tulsa scored on 5 of its 12 drives; East Texas A&M on 1 of its 14.

Tulsa’s drives are teal, East Texas A&M’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1East Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntTulsa: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownEast Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntTulsa: Fumble, from 60 yards out to 45FumbleEast Texas A&M: Punt, from 55 yards out to 53PuntTulsa: Punt, from 87 yards out to 57PuntEast Texas A&M: Turned over on downs, from 86 yards out to 33DownsQ2Tulsa: Touchdown, from 67 yards out to 0TouchdownEast Texas A&M: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 17DownsTulsa: Punt, from 83 yards out to 53PuntEast Texas A&M: Punt, from 83 yards out to 77PuntTulsa: Punt, from 60 yards out to 50PuntEast Texas A&M: End of half, from 80 yards out to 75End of halfQ3East Texas A&M: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownEast Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 57PuntTulsa: Punt, from 70 yards out to 54PuntEast Texas A&M: Punt, from 80 yards out to 70PuntTulsa: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownEast Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntTulsa: Touchdown, from 64 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4East Texas A&M: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 22Missed FGTulsa: Punt, from 78 yards out to 75PuntEast Texas A&M: Interception, from 66 yards out to 21InterceptionTulsa: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownEast Texas A&M: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 71DownsTulsa: End of game, from 29 yards out to 33End of game

Box score

Tulsa 42, East Texas A&M 0

Tulsa covered −41.5 by 0.5. The total, 42, stayed under 55.5.

East Texas A&MTulsaTotal yardsEast Texas A&M 288Tulsa 450288450Passing yardsEast Texas A&M 163Tulsa 164163164Rushing yardsEast Texas A&M 125Tulsa 286125286First downsEast Texas A&M 16Tulsa 231623TurnoversEast Texas A&M 1Tulsa 111Time of possessionEast Texas A&M 30:18Tulsa 29:4230:1829:42
Team totalsEast Texas A&MTulsa
Total yards288450
Passing19 of 39, 163 yds14 of 26, 164 yds
Rushing32 for 125 yds44 for 286 yds
First downs1623
Third down4 of 155 of 13
Fourth down0 of 33 of 3
Turnovers11
Penalties7 for 50 yds2 for 25 yds
Time of possession30:1829:42

East Texas A&M leaders

  • Passing Reese Mooney 10 of 19, 85 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Major McBride 10 for 53 yds; Quay Middlebrooks 10 for 49 yds
  • Receiving Micah Simpson 5 for 41 yds; Jake Whitehead 1 for 35 yds

Tulsa leaders

  • Passing Dexter Williams II 14 of 26, 164 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Seth Davis 9 for 90 yds, 1 TD; Damari Alston 8 for 68 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Oran Singleton Jr. 2 for 38 yds, 1 TD; Donnell Gee Jr. 3 for 38 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

95° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Warmer than every one of the 57 other games played at Chapman Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 79°, with about 7 in 10 games between 67° and 87°.

September game-day temperatures at Chapman Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Tulsa favoredEast Texas A&M favored100%Win chanceTulsaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Tulsa favoredEast Texas A&M favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:54 left7:03 p.m.
East Texas A&M 0, Tulsa 0 · Tulsa 99% to win
no rain · 94°
Oakmon 3-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Tulsa International Airport(aw) airport, 4.6 miles away, and Tulsa/lloyd Jones airport, 7.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

East Texas A&M · 1-2

Rated 245th in our preseason ratings, 229th now, up 16 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 38-14 vs Northwestern State #265 of 668

won by 24 as a 20.5-point favorite

East Texas A&M won 38-14 vs Northwestern State. Chance to win started at 94%, low 82%, high better than 99%.

L 7-44 @ Stephen F. Austin #102 of 668

lost by 37 as a 23.5-point underdog

L 15-23 @ Mercer #165 of 668

lost by 8 as a 22.5-point underdog

Last two games

Tulsa · 2-0

Rated 107th in our preseason ratings, 125th now.

Two straight wins, including a 14-point win over Oklahoma State as a 13.5-point underdog.

Week by week

Tulsa

Wk 1: W 24-10 vs Oklahoma State▲14Oklahoma StateWk 2: W 23-17 at Sam Houston▲6Sam Houston
  • Wk 1Wvs Oklahoma State24-10
  • Wk 2Wat Sam Houston23-17

East Texas A&M

Wk 1: L 15-23 at Mercer▼8MercerWk 1: L 7-44 at Stephen F. Austin▼37Stephen F. Aust…Wk 2: W 38-14 vs Northwestern State▲24Northwestern St.
  • Wk 1Lat Mercer15-23
  • Wk 1Lat Stephen F. Austin7-44
  • Wk 2Wvs Northwestern State38-14

Power rating by week

Tulsa is rated 5.3 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-3-8-12Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2TulsaEast Texas A&M

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Tulsa’s chances here.

50-50Model · 88%Line · 100%East Texas A&MTulsa

Tulsa favored by 41.5 · Total 55.5

How games like this usually go

Tulsa by 41.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward East Texas A&M.

opened −42.5now −41.5

The total fell 1 point.

opened 56.5now 55.5

Spread: −42.5 → −41.5 · Total: 56.5 → 55.5

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 90° at kickoff.

East Texas A&M at Tulsa · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Chapman Stadium, Tulsa

  • 90°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 79weather score, Mixed
  • Bestof the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the best of the day's eight kickoff times. At Chapman Stadium that day, a 2:30 pm kickoff would have scored 48, against 79 at 7 pm.

  • 11 am: 58, Rough
  • 11:45 am: 55, Rough
  • 1 pm: 52, Rough
  • 2:30 pm: 48, Harsh
  • 3:30 pm: 50, Rough
  • 6 pm: 69, Rough
  • 6:30 pm: 76, Mixed
  • 7 pm: 79, Mixed (this game)

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Tulsa is worth +1.4 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom tenth of FBS, 9th percentile.

40% at home, 33% on the road against FBS opponents (17-25 home, 17-34 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.0 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 201 miles to get here.

Where next