cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dijon Stanley /New Mexico State

Dijon Stanley

RB · New Mexico State · Jr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

297 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 73 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · New Mexico State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126

RB · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Dijon Stanley

  • 3
  • #8
  • 6-0 | 185 lb
  • Granada Hills, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

42

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#657

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
1.02023
66.02024
2972025

+29600%

Up 29600% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#429 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey8
Measurements6-0 | 185 lb
HometownGranada Hills, CA
Primary teamNew Mexico State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 429 recruit
Composite rating 0.8920 HighSchool
Signed with Utah 2023
Origin Granada Hills Granada Hills, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.8920 No. 429 recruit | HighSchool | Utah

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination New Mexico State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 20, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Utah -> New Mexico State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#657Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#658Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Utah

Composite

0.8920

#429 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dijon Stanley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dijon Stanley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
297Rush yards
73Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
27Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
351Rush yards
86Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 297): needs 226.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 297): needs 351.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 297): needs 601.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 9/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dijon Stanley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For New Mexico State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #657 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 429 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 421 297 rush | 124 rec | #262/735 (64th pct)
Rush TD 2 73 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 4.1 Per-rush efficiency | #475/735 (36th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
73 69th
YDS
297 64th
YPC
4.1 36th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
24 90th
YDS
124 77th
YPR
5.2 28th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 19-3vs Bryant10323.2013
Wk 2W 21-14vs Tulsa581.604
Wk 3L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech372.308
Wk 5L 20-38@ New Mexico2157.509
Wk 8L 27-30@ Liberty6193.208
Wk 9L 17-24vs Missouri State6111.808
Wk 10L 16-35@ Western Kentucky540.803
Wk 11L 21-24vs Kennesaw State10616.1128
Wk 12L 9-42@ Tennessee7192.706
Wk 13W 34-31@ UTEP111069.6157Season-high 106 yds
Wk 14L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee8151.906
Total732973.7257
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Utah8-5HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
2024Utah5-7HC: Kyle Whittingham · Balanced
2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State732974.12--
2024Utah20663.30--
2023Utah610.20--
Career3 loaded seasons993643.72--
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State241245.20--
2024Utah716623.72--
2023Utah3217.00--
Career3 loaded seasons343119.12--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 24 124 rec yds | #55/552 (90th pct)
Usage 12.0% 24.6% rush share | #253/738 (66th pct)
Rushing WEPA -0.01 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #352/362 (3rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 297 #262/735 64th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.1 #475/735 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 24 #55/552 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 124 #127/548 77th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA -0.01 #352/362 3rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 57 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 12.0% #253/738 66th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 73 #233/739 69th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 57 #118/733 84th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 16 #277/540 49th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.2 #395/548 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 71 #77/200 62nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 17.8 #113/199 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 4 #69/206 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 24.6% #189/738 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 14.8% #223/738 70th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 14.2% #241/738 67th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.2% #203/738 73rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.6% #318/738 57th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.3% #378/738 49th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.8% #172/738 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g25.42.90.2
Road6g28.34.40.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g48.74.80.3
Losses8g18.93.30.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g15.53.60.0
Weeks 8+7g33.63.70.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

42Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Strength: receptions (83rd). Concern: yards / carry (17th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Receptions#55 / 338 · 83rd pct
24rece
Long run#107 / 349 · 68th pct
57rush
Rec yards#118 / 338 · 65th pct
124rece
Carries#233 / 349 · 33rd pct
73rush
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Rush yards#262 / 349 · 25th pct
297rush
Yards / carry#285 / 349 · 18th pct
4.1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing-0.01Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Dijon StanleyNew Mexico StateTJ HardenSMU· 64% simCarson HansenIowa State· 63% simTae MeadowsTroy· 63% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Stanley
87
Harden
87
Hansen
49
Meadows
Receptions
83
Stanley
75
Harden
75
Hansen
45
Meadows
Long run
68
Stanley
62
Harden
78
Hansen
53
Meadows
Rec yards
65
Stanley
54
Harden
70
Hansen
38
Meadows
Carries
33
Stanley
87
Harden
91
Hansen
84
Meadows
Rush TDs
26
Stanley
87
Harden
72
Hansen
72
Meadows
Rush yards
25
Stanley
80
Harden
87
Hansen
74
Meadows
Yards / carry
18
Stanley
37
Harden
58
Hansen
29
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Davion Ervin-Poindexter’s 2023 season.

Davion Ervin-Poindexter

65%match

Western Kentucky · 2023

#2

Austin Jones

Stanford · 2021

63%
#3

Kevin Riley

Alabama · 2025

63%
#4

Alan Lamar

Arkansas State · 2021

All-Sun Belt
62%
#5

Charles Kellom

Akron · 2024

58%

Matches Davion on

Rush TD rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Davion on

EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Total rush EPA (college ability) (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Harry Trotter’s path through Kansas State.

Harry Trotter

97%match

Kansas State · 2020

#2

Josh Johnson

UL Monroe · 2020

97%
#3

Bryant Barr

Campbell · 2020

89%
#4

Anthony Williams Jr.

Akron · 2021

88%
#5

Justin Henderson

Louisiana Tech · 2020

All-Conference USA
86%

Matches Harry on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Chase Jenkins's junior season at Rice (2025).

Chase Jenkins

61%match

Rice · 2025

#2

Jamal Haynes

Georgia Tech · 2025

All-ACC
63%
#3

Davion Ervin-Poindexter

Western Kentucky · 2023

62%
#4

Charles Kellom

Akron · 2024

56%
#5

Drake Anderson

Akron · 2023

57%

Matches Chase on

Weight

Differs from Chase on

Class year (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Sanchez

Pass share

57.4%

472 pass / 350 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.7%

359 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jerry Kill
New Mexico State
2024
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State
era →
2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State

Coaching transition mid-career: Jerry Kill → Tony Sanchez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGranada Hills, CA
Height6'0"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Utah RB3 #657 #658 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Utah RB3 #2097 #1875 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico State Conference USA RB 3 No. 8 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Granada Hills, CA
2024 Utah Big 12 RB 3 No. 8 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Granada Hills, CA
2023 Utah Pac-12 RB 3 No. 8 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Granada Hills, CA