cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Alexander Diggs /Kennesaw State

Alexander Diggs

RB · Kennesaw State · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

281 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 72 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kennesaw State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kennesaw State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Kennesaw State

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kennesaw State · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #132 · 2026 recruiting class #137

RB · KENNESAW STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Alexander Diggs

  • 3
  • #3
  • 5-9 | 201 lb
  • Snellville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

25

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 26th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4395

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Kennesaw State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements5-9 | 201 lb
HometownSnellville, GA
Primary teamKennesaw State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4395Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4980Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Alexander Diggs

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Alexander Diggs

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
281Rush yards
72Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
28.1Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
365.3Rush yards
94Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 281): needs 156.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 281): needs 239.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 281): needs 406.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Alexander Diggs's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kennesaw State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4395 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 330 281 rush | 49 rec | #273/735 (63rd pct)
Rush TD 2 72 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 3.9 Per-rush efficiency | #516/735 (30th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
72 68th
YDS
281 63rd
YPC
3.9 30th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
10 61st
YDS
49 48th
YPR
4.9 23rd
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 9-10@ Wake Forest11393.5010
Wk 2L 9-56@ Indiana7243.4020
Wk 3W 27-13vs Merrimack9556.1025
Wk 4W 28-21vs Arkansas State12322.719
Wk 5W 24-16vs Middle Tennessee393.007
Wk 9W 45-26@ Florida International11696.3121Season-high 69 yds
Wk 10W 33-20vs UTEP252.504
Wk 11W 24-21@ New Mexico State7131.905
Wk 12L 26-35@ Jacksonville State7273.908
Wk 13W 41-34vs Missouri State382.703
Total722813.6225
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Kennesaw State10-4HC: Jerry Mack · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kennesaw State722813.92--
Career1 loaded season722813.92--
SeasonTeam
2025Kennesaw State10494.90--
Career1 loaded season10494.90--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 10 49 rec yds | #217/552 (61st pct)
Usage 11.3% 17.7% rush share | #274/738 (63rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.04 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #309/362 (15th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 281 #273/735 63rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.9 #516/735 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 10 #217/552 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 49 #286/548 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.04 #309/362 15th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 11.3% #274/738 63rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 72 #235/739 68th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 25 #335/733 54th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 14 #323/540 40th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 4.9 #425/548 23rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 17.7% #299/738 60th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 13.8% #216/738 71st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 12.4% #120/738 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.8% #148/738 80th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.7% #330/738 55th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 9.5% #369/738 50th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.2% #215/738 71st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g21.83.40.2
Road5g34.43.80.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins7g27.33.60.3
Losses3g30.03.60.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g31.83.70.2
Weeks 8+5g24.43.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

25Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / carry (11th).

Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Receptions#198 / 338 · 39th pct
10rece
Carries#235 / 349 · 32nd pct
72rush
Rec yards#243 / 338 · 28th pct
49rece
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Rush yards#273 / 349 · 22nd pct
281rush
Long run#271 / 349 · 21st pct
25rush
Yards / carry#303 / 349 · 12th pct
3.9rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.04Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Alexander DiggsKennesaw StateTae MeadowsTroy· 67% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 64% simJordan GantAkron· 61% sim
Fumbles lost
49
Diggs
49
Meadows
49
Wright
49
Gant
Receptions
39
Diggs
45
Meadows
32
Wright
35
Gant
Carries
32
Diggs
84
Meadows
92
Wright
95
Gant
Rec yards
28
Diggs
38
Meadows
10
Wright
27
Gant
Rush TDs
26
Diggs
72
Meadows
62
Wright
72
Gant
Rush yards
22
Diggs
74
Meadows
84
Wright
90
Gant
Long run
21
Diggs
53
Meadows
49
Wright
35
Gant
Yards / carry
12
Diggs
29
Meadows
33
Wright
45
Gant

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Sean Dollars’s 2023 season.

Sean Dollars

80%match

Nevada · 2023

#2

Terrion Avery

South Alabama · 2020

77%
#3

K'Wan Powell

South Florida · 2023

78%
#4

Elelyon Noa

Utah State · 2021

77%
#5

Reese White

Coastal Carolina · 2023

77%

Matches Sean on

Weight
Yards / reception
Yards / carry

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Israel Tucker’s path through Louisiana Tech.

Israel Tucker

95%match

Louisiana Tech · 2020

#2

Mike Hollins

Virginia · 2023

94%
#3

TK Wilkerson

Tulsa · 2020

94%
#4

Kevin Daniels

Eastern Illinois · 2023

94%
#5

Travis Theis

South Dakota · 2024

92%

Matches Israel on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Charvis Thornton's junior season at Louisiana Tech (2023).

Charvis Thornton

87%match

Louisiana Tech · 2023

#2

Calvin Hill

Texas State · 2022

79%
#3

Nathan Carter

Michigan State · 2023

79%
#4

Tae Meadows

Troy · 2025

77%
#5

Ja'Vin Simpkins

Coastal Carolina · 2025

76%

Matches Charvis on

Receiving share
Yards / carry
Yards / reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jerry Mack

Pass share

44.2%

422 pass / 533 run

Plays / game

68.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jerry Mack
Kennesaw State

Played his entire career under Jerry Mack.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSnellville, GA
Height5'9"
Weight201 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kennesaw State RB3 #4395 #4980 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kennesaw State Conference USA RB 3 No. 3 | 5-9 | 201 lb | Snellville, GA
2024 Kennesaw State Conference USA RB 3 No. 3 | 5-9 | 201 lb | Snellville, GA