Holy Cross at Miami (OH)
Fan take
Miami (OH) fans
How they got here
Last two games
Holy Cross · 0-2
Picked #198 in the preseason · now #213.
Two straight losses, each by 20 or more.
Last three games · 2025 season
Miami (OH) · 7-7
Picked #78 in the preseason · now #72 — about right.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 3–18 @ Fresno State #68 of 668
lost by 15 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 13–23 @ Western Michigan #68 of 668
lost by 10 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 45–24 vs Ball State #220 of 668
won by 21 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 37–20 @ Buffalo #143 of 668
won by 17 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 3–24 vs Toledo #26 of 668
lost by 21 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 20–24 @ Ohio #69 of 668
lost by 4 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 26–17 vs Western Michigan #71 of 668
won by 9 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 44–30 vs Eastern Michigan #169 of 668
won by 14 as a 11.5-point favorite
W 20–7 @ Akron #175 of 668
won by 13 as a 12-point favorite
W 25–14 @ Northern Illinois #133 of 668
won by 11 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 38–0 vs Lindenwood #207 of 668
won by 38 as a 22.5-point favorite
L 38–41 vs UNLV #87 of 668
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 17–45 @ Rutgers #58 of 668
lost by 28 as a 15.5-point underdog
L 0–17 @ Wisconsin #38 of 668
lost by 17 as a 18-point underdog
What’s at stake
Holy Cross
- Holy Cross is 3 games back in Patriot with 7 left to make it up.
- Holy Cross is still shaking off a 38-point loss.
Miami (OH)
- Miami (OH) is coming off a 38-point win.
The series
Miami (OH) leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Miami (OH) won the last meeting
- 2026Miami (OH) 45–7
Best players
Miami (OH)
- Malcolm Mccain (LB) · 12 tackles
- David McComb (QB) · 474 passing yards
- Toney Coleman Jr. (DB) · 9 tackles
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on Miami (OH)’s chances here.
Home −30.5 · O/U 46.5
Conditions
77°F · 3 mph wind · Light Rain
Miami (OH) is worth +6.5 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 88th percentile.
74% at home, 47% on the road against FBS opponents (25–9 home, 22–25 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.5 at home vs. away over 72 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 700 miles to get here.
Holy Cross 7 – Miami (OH) 45
Called it — picked Miami (OH) to win.
Recent games
Miami (OH)
- Wk 1Lat Pittsburgh14-59
Holy Cross
- Wk 1Lvs Lehigh10-35
- Wk 1Lat Colgate10-35
Trajectory
Miami (OH) handled Holy Cross 45-7, matching the pregame favorite.