Pittsburgh routs Miami (OH) 59-14
Team pages: Miami (OH) · Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh routed Miami (OH) 59-14. Share this game
We had Pittsburgh favored. It won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Pittsburgh a 73% chance, and the closing betting line (Pittsburgh was a 16.5-point favorite) put it at 91%.
Miami (OH) · Q2 4:34
Pittsburgh 59-14 Miami (OH)Pittsburgh wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Miami (OH) 14-59 PittsburghMiami (OH) lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Pittsburgh -16.5), at 88% for Pittsburgh (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
Pittsburgh scored on 9 of its 12 drives; Miami (OH) on 2 of its 12.
Pittsburgh’s drives are teal, Miami (OH)’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
“bro purposely dropped that 😂”
When fans got loud
Busy
Fans peaked in the second quarter.
The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.
Box score
Pittsburgh 59, Miami (OH) 14
Pittsburgh covered −16.5 by 28.5. The total, 73, went over 47.5.
| Team totals | Miami (OH) | Pittsburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 289 | 646 |
| Passing | 19 of 37, 261 yds | 34 of 44, 480 yds |
| Rushing | 21 for 28 yds | 31 for 166 yds |
| First downs | 14 | 33 |
| Third down | 3 of 13 | 7 of 10 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Penalties | 9 for 78 yds | 5 for 38 yds |
| Time of possession | 26:04 | 33:56 |
Miami (OH) leaders
- Passing David McComb 16 of 33, 240 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Lazaro Rogers 6 for 21 yds; Caleb Heavner 1 for 11 yds
- Receiving Damarion Witten 2 for 90 yds, 1 TD; Scoop Smith 3 for 50 yds
Pittsburgh leaders
- Passing Mason Heintschel 31 of 41, 453 yds, 7 TD
- Rushing Justin Cook 1 for 50 yds, 1 TD; Ja'Kyrian Turner 11 for 39 yds
- Receiving Cataurus Hicks 5 for 114 yds, 1 TD; Censere Lee 5 for 86 yds, 1 TD
No rain through the game
76° at kickoff · no rain recorded
September game-day temperatures at Acrisure Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Pittsburgh/alleghen airport, 8.1 miles away, and Pittsburgh International airport, 12 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Miami (OH) · 7-7
Rated 78th in our preseason ratings.
L 3-18 @ Fresno State #78 of 667
lost by 15 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 13-23 @ Western Michigan #86 of 667
lost by 10 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 45-24 vs Ball State #211 of 667
won by 21 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 37-20 @ Buffalo #158 of 667
won by 17 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 3-24 vs Toledo #31 of 667
lost by 21 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 20-24 @ Ohio #71 of 667
lost by 4 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 26-17 vs Western Michigan #90 of 667
won by 9 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 44-30 vs Eastern Michigan #172 of 667
won by 14 as an 11.5-point favorite
W 20-7 @ Akron #178 of 667
won by 13 as an 11.5-point favorite
W 25-14 @ Northern Illinois #135 of 667
won by 11 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 38-0 vs Lindenwood #209 of 667
won by 38 as a 22.5-point favorite
L 38-41 vs UNLV #68 of 667
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 17-45 @ Rutgers #61 of 667
lost by 28 as a 15.5-point underdog
L 0-17 @ Wisconsin #42 of 667
lost by 17 as an 18.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Pittsburgh · 8-5
Rated 47th in our preseason ratings.
L 17-23 @ East Carolina #52 of 667
lost by 6 as a 13.5-point favorite
L 7-38 vs MiamiTop 25 #7 of 667
lost by 31 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 42-28 @ Georgia TechTop 25 #53 of 667
won by 14 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 15-37 vs Notre DameTop 25 #3 of 667
lost by 22 as a 12.5-point underdog
W 35-20 @ Stanford #128 of 667
won by 15 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 53-34 vs NC State #46 of 667
won by 19 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 30-13 @ Syracuse #71 of 667
won by 17 as an 8.5-point favorite
W 34-31 @ Florida StateTop 25 #30 of 667
won by 3 as an 11.5-point underdog
W 48-7 vs Boston College #81 of 667
won by 41 as a 6.5-point favorite
L 27-34 vs LouisvilleTop 25 #32 of 667
lost by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 24-31 @ West Virginia #56 of 667
lost by 7 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 45-17 vs Central Michigan #159 of 667
won by 28 as a 21.5-point favorite
W 61-9 vs Duquesne #146 of 667
won by 52 as a 39.5-point favorite
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: Miami (OH)’s explosive plays against Pittsburgh, 89 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Miami (OH)’s explosive plays against Pittsburgh’s defense
Miami (OH) offense, 94th percentile · Pittsburgh defense, 5th
Miami (OH)’s success rate against Pittsburgh’s defense
Miami (OH) offense, 32nd percentile · Pittsburgh defense, 98th
Miami (OH)’s rushing EPA against Pittsburgh’s defense
Miami (OH) offense, 66th percentile · Pittsburgh defense, 100th
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
The series
Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 1931 · Pittsburgh has won the last 2
- 1949Pittsburgh 35-26
- 1931Pittsburgh 61-0
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Pittsburgh fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (50th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
- Model · 73%
- Line · 91%
- Pittsburgh fans · 50th
- Miami (OH) fans · 54th
Pittsburgh favored by 16.5 · Total 47.5
How games like this usually go
Pittsburgh by 16.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.
The market
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Warm and dry. Feels like 78° at kickoff.
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh
- 78°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 89weather score, Mixed
- Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 7 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Acrisure Stadium that day, a 7 pm or 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 89 at noon.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
- noon: 89, Mixed (this game)
- 12:45 pm: 89, Mixed
- 2 pm: 88, Mixed
- 3:30 pm: 87, Mixed
- 6 pm: 99, Comfortable
- 7 pm: 100, Ideal
- 7:45 pm: 100, Ideal
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Pittsburgh is worth +2.4 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 20th percentile.
62% at home, 51% on the road against FBS opponents (31-19 home, 22-21 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.3 at home vs. away over 101 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 258 miles to get here.