Next game: vs Ohio
Miami (OH)’s best edge on Ohio is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Miami (OH) offense against Ohio defense
Ohio offense against Miami (OH) defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.64 EPA/play | 16 | 4 | 65 / 103 | 63.1 | 1120 | 10.9 | 7 | 1 | 174.9 | 75 | 84.5 | 10.7 | 5.5 | |
Yards by week → Vertical passerElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. This week's matchup — QB McComb pushes it downfield on every look. Poulos is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt10.9 100th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate1.0% 86th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View David McComb's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Scrambler · +0.01 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 68 / 125 | 54.4 | 769 | 6.2 | 4 | 4 | 110.2 | 22 | 27.6 | 3.9 | 12.6 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Starter — 125 pass attempts and 66 carries in 8 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Heavner extends plays on the move until something opens up. Poulos is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Rush usage34.6% 91th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %52.8% bottom 3th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Caleb Heavner's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · -0.02 EPA/play | — | 9 | 90 | 436 | 4.8 | 4 | 58 | 20 | 18.3 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 90 carries and 2 catches in 9 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Nelson does a little of everything without one standout trait. Brune is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry4.9 bottom 37th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share2.2% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Rodney Nelson's full player page | ||||||||||
| Workhorse · -0.06 EPA/play | 9 | 9 | 72 | 285 | 4.0 | 3 | 22 | 16.7 | 12.5 | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. 72 carries and 1 catch in 9 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Jones just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Brune is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Weight225 lb 92th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share1.4% bottom 5th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View D'Shawntae Jones's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.03 EPA/play | 21 | 8 | 30 | 144 | 4.8 | 1 | 19 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.83 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 27 | 473 | 17.5 | 1 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 27 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Huggins beats you over the top. Dorwart is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception17.5 87th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Maleek Huggins's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.77 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 17 | 346 | 20.4 | 4 #70 FBS | 75 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Witten beats you over the top. Dorwart is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception16.9 83th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate23.5% 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Damarion Witten's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.31 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 24 | 289 | 12.0 | 2 | 39 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Billups-Williams moves the chains on third down. Dorwart is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception12.0 bottom 34th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.3 bottom 28th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Lynel Billups-Williams's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.34 EPA/play | 18 | 6 | 18 | 248 | 13.8 | 1 | 35 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Isom moves the chains on third down. Dorwart is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception13.8 54th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume18 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Braylon Isom's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.51 EPA/play | 24 | 9 | 18 | 189 | 10.5 | 1 | 33 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 18 catches and 9 carries in 9 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR Smith moves the chains on third down. Dorwart is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception9.5 bottom 13th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume18 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Scoop Smith's full player page | ||||||||
| +1.02 EPA/play | 2 | 5 | 6 | 97 | 16.2 | 0 | 38 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.91 EPA/play | 81 | 3 | 6 | 97 | 16.2 | 1 | 57 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.32 EPA/play | 15 | 5 | 10 | 94 | 9.4 | 1 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Ross shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Furtney is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception11.8 60th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume10 bottom 22th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Christian Ross's full player page | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 92 | 8 | 36 | 11 | 8.5 #40 FBS | 6 #17 FBS | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 36 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate23.6% 78th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Roosevelt Andrews III's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 4 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 22 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.1% bottom 30th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brach Rice's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 20 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.1% 70th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zhaiylen Scott's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Oyeka Alexander's full player page | |||||||
| 52 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | |
| 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 3 | 9 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 70 tackles in 9 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume70 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate1.4% bottom 13th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Malcolm Mccain's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 15 | 9 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 50 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman View Blayne Myrick's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 8 | 7 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 #51 FBS |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 39 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume39 53th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View CJ Young's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 43 | 9 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 5.5 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate22.0% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate16.0% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Grant Lyons's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 26 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.8% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Eli Coppess's full player page | |||||||||
| 11 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 37 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 1 | 9 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 49 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume49 92th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Dillon Tatum's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 24 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Mychal Yharbrough's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | — | 9 | 25 | 10 #2 FBS | 1 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate40.0% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Amariyun Knighten's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 13 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.7% 54th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Desmon Yharbrough's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 21 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Toney Coleman Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 12 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.2% 91th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kaleb Martin's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 17 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ben Minich's full player page | |||||||
| 28 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 38 | 9 | 11/17 | 64.7 | 29/29 | 62 | 47 |
| 31 | 1 | 1/1 | 100 | 0/0 | 3 | 33 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 34 | 9 | 39 | 1725 | 44.2 | 68 | 17 | 8 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.51 EPA/play | 24 | 9 | 11 | 331 | 30.1 | 1 | 98 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.31 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 8 | 66 | 8.3 | 0 | 20 |
How scary each game got
Miami (OH) lost to Buffalo after being 99% to win; the closest win was against UConn, down to 11%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Miami (OH) during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Miami (OH)
through 9 games
2026 stat leaders · Miami (OH)Malcolm Mccain leads Miami (OH) with 70 tackles through 9 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+19 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Miami (OH) fields a capable explosive, big-play offense behind a solid defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Miami (OH) reads strongest in explosive plays (top 11%) and field position (O) (top 14%); the crux lives in red-zone defense, where Miami (OH) sits at the 17th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Miami (OH) is worth +6.1 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 84th percentile of 133 programs
71% at home, 48% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (27-11 home, 24-26 away). Interval ±3.6.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Miami (OH) has beaten the number by +0.6 more at home than away over 94 games. That is inside the ±5.0 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Yager Stadium seats 24,286 and has averaged 55% full (13,296, 26 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 201 miles trip since 2018, the 7th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. Whatever the band above is picking up, it isn't the flight. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 26% of the 2026 roster (31 of 118 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 44 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- UnderdogCole Weaver produces at a notably lower rate when his team is an underdog than when favored: he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
- Short yardageJordan Brunson converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate, though he isn't trusted with much of the goal-line work either.
- Deep threatKamryn Perry is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
- Deep threatCole Weaver is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Garbage timeCole Weaver sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
- Garbage timeJordan Brunson sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
Position battles
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Maleek Huggins (WR) and Christian Ross (TE) split the targets (43/57 vs 14/57) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Miami (OH) actually scores
68th percentile quality, 31st percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Miami (OH)’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 52nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 58th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Miami (OH) hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
50th percentile success on standard downs, 43rd on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Miami (OH) by half
1st-half offense ranks 87th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 37th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Miami (OH)’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.15; 53rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.30 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Miami (OH)’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Miami (OH)’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.7% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 179-play sample) — mid-pack, 43 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Miami (OH)’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.2% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 248-play sample) — mid-pack, 88 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
71% recovery rate on their own fumbles — well above the ~52% league baseline.
5 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves; 3 of 7 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
18% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
7 interceptions of 38 disrupted passes (31 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
65 penalties committed, 56 drawn on opponents — ceding 105 yards of field position.
570 penalty yards committed vs. 465 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Miami (OH)
Most similar programs · Miami (OH)Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
Usual during the game around Nov 10: 50°, between 35° and 61° in about 7 in 10 games (22 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 60°, and 8 in 10 ran between 35° and 77° (57 of 58 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.