cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cartevious Norton /South Florida

Cartevious Norton

RB · South Florida · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

166 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 32 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · South Florida

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (44 in / 34 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Florida · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #61 · 2026 recruiting class #65

RB · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Cartevious Norton

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 222 lb
  • Waycross, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

28

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 62nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#533

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
3122022
3432023
5252024
1662025

-47%

Sharp dropoff (-47%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#759 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 222 lb
HometownWaycross, GA
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 759 recruit
Composite rating 0.8707 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Ware County Waycross, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8707 No. 759 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination South Florida 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 16, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Charlotte -> South Florida 3-star | Immediate
2024 Iowa State -> Charlotte 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#533Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#803Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8707

#759 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cartevious Norton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cartevious Norton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
166Rush yards
32Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
33.2Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
431.6Rush yards
83Carries
5Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 166): needs 73/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 166): needs 104.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 166): needs 166.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.2/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cartevious Norton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For South Florida, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #533 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 193 166 rush | 27 rec | #365/735 (50th pct)
Rush TD 2 32 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 5.2 Per-rush efficiency | #240/735 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
32 49th
YDS
166 50th
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
27 35th
YPR
13.5 91st
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State7152.118
Wk 2W 18-16@ Florida6244.008
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami2105.007
Wk 4W 63-14vs South Carolina State44812.0021
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte13695.3137Season-high 69 yds
Total321665.7237
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Iowa State4-8HC: Matt Campbell · Pass-leaning
2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Charlotte5-7HC: Biff Poggi · Balanced, slow tempo
2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida321665.22--
2024Charlotte1295254.17--
2023Iowa State873433.93--
2022Iowa State873123.62--
Career4 loaded seasons3351,3464.014--
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida22713.50--
2024Charlotte2136.50--
2023Iowa State3206.70--
2022Iowa State12695.80--
Career4 loaded seasons191296.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 27 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 10.1% 19.2% rush share | #313/738 (58th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.16 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #111/362 (70th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 166 #365/735 50th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #240/735 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 27 #356/548 35th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.16 #111/362 70th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 116 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 10.1% #313/738 58th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 37 #253/733 66th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 32 #378/739 49th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 24 #174/540 68th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 13.5 #48/548 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 19.2% #270/738 64th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.4% #294/738 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 11.3% #310/738 58th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 10.4% #340/738 54th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.1% #232/738 69th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.8% #305/738 59th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.2% #480/738 35th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home3g44.06.50.7
Road2g17.04.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g39.05.80.5
Losses1g10.05.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g33.25.70.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

28Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: carries (0th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Yards / carry#127 / 349 · 62nd pct
5.2rush
Long run#219 / 349 · 37th pct
37rush
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Rec yards#285 / 338 · 16th pct
27rece
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Rush yards#337 / 349 · 4th pct
166rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
32rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Cartevious NortonSouth FloridaJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 54% simTae MeadowsTroy· 51% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 51% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Norton
49
Brunson
49
Meadows
49
Wright
Yards / carry
62
Norton
41
Brunson
29
Meadows
33
Wright
Long run
37
Norton
73
Brunson
53
Meadows
49
Wright
Rush TDs
26
Norton
50
Brunson
72
Meadows
62
Wright
Rec yards
16
Norton
3
Brunson
38
Meadows
10
Wright
Receptions
5
Norton
2
Brunson
45
Meadows
32
Wright
Rush yards
4
Norton
80
Brunson
74
Meadows
84
Wright
Carries
0
Norton
85
Brunson
84
Meadows
92
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
era →
2024
Alex Golesh
South Florida
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Scott → Alex Golesh. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWaycross, GA
Height5'11"
Weight222 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Charlotte RB4 #533 #803 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Iowa State RB4 #598 #577 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Iowa State RB4 #1109 #1277 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic RB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 222 lb | Waycross, GA
2024 Charlotte American Athletic RB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 222 lb | Waycross, GA
2023 Iowa State Big 12 RB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 222 lb | Waycross, GA
2022 Iowa State Big 12 RB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 222 lb | Waycross, GA