CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 77th percentile.
Cayden Lee
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
635 REC YDS · 44 REC · 3 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Missouri
WR · OLE MISS · SEC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 77th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2015
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025Up 457% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8883 | No. 476 recruit | HighSchool | Ole Miss |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Ole Miss -> Missouri | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Ole Miss
Composite
0.8883
#476 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
14.4
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#129 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.4 yards per reception (44 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=44 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 14 at Mississippi State — 77 ypr
Result W 38-19
The week the volume broke through — put up 77 yds at Mississippi State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Cayden Lee's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ole Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 15 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 63-7vs Georgia State | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 30-23@ Kentucky | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-35vs Arkansas | 3 | 75 | 25.0 | 0 | 62 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-10vs Tulane | 2 | 60 | 30.0 | 0 | 47 | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-19vs LSU | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 1 | 32 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-21vs Washington State | 3 | 56 | 18.7 | 1 | 35 | |
| Wk 8 | L 35-43@ Georgia | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-26@ Oklahoma | 3 | 60 | 20.0 | 0 | 31 | |
| Wk 10 | W 30-14vs South Carolina | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 11 | W 49-0vs The Citadel | 2 | 53 | 26.5 | 1 | 31 | |
| Wk 12 | W 34-24vs Florida | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 14 | W 38-19@ Mississippi State | 7 | 77 | 11.0 | 0 | 21 | Season-high 77 yds |
| Bowl | W 41-10vs Tulane | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bowl | W 39-34@ Georgia | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 0 | 12 | |
| Bowl | L 27-31vs Miami | 5 | 67 | 13.4 | 0 | 23 | |
| Total | 44 | 635 | 14.4 | 3 | 62 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 44 | #153/1110 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 635 | #130/1107 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.4 | #309/1106 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.4% | #414/1137 | 64th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 62 | #154/1105 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.4% | #357/1137 | 69th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.7% | #483/1137 | 58th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.3% | #368/1137 | 68th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.5% | #423/1137 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.7% | #461/1137 | 60th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.5% | #450/1137 | 61st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 15 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home10g | 2.8 | 46.4 | 16.6 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 3.2 | 34.2 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins13g | 2.9 | 43.2 | 15.1 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 3.0 | 37.0 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-79g | 2.9 | 42.2 | 14.4 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 3.0 | 42.5 | 14.4 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dom Henry’s 2025 season.
Dom Henry
Eric Rivers
Taylor Morin
Jacob Cowing
Jha'Quan Jackson
Matches Dom on
Differs from Dom on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Cary Angeline’s path through NC State.
Cary Angeline
Jalen Coker
Kevin Shaa
Jake Herslow
Isiah Cox
Matches Cary on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Faison's junior season at Notre Dame (2025).
Jordan Faison
Isaiah Sategna
Devaughn Cooper
Jayce Brown
Anthony Evans III
Matches Jordan on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lane Kiffin
Pass share
48.2%
521 pass / 560 run
Plays / game
72.1
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
330 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Lane Kiffin.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.