cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Justin Wodtly /Arizona State

Justin Wodtly

DL · Arizona State · Sr · #95

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

42 TACKLES · 6.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arizona State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arizona State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Arizona State

Returning around him

  • 70% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 4 Arizona State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (24 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arizona State · Last season: 8-5 (AP #24) · Talent rank #33 · 2026 recruiting class #44

DL · ARIZONA STATE · BIG 12

Justin Wodtly

  • 4
  • #95
  • 6-2 | 260 lb
  • Cleveland, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

83

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9562

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#765 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey95
Measurements6-2 | 260 lb
HometownCleveland, OH
Primary teamArizona State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 765 recruit
Composite rating 0.8670 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Cleveland Heights Cleveland, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8670 No. 765 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9562Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9187Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8670

#765 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Justin Wodtly

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Justin Wodtly

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
42Tackles
7Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks
Projected (13g)
50Tackles
8.3Tackles for loss
7.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 42): needs 19/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 42): needs 29/game over remaining 2.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 6.5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 6.5): needs 1.8/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Justin Wodtly is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arizona State's defense, with 6.5 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9562 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 42 21 solo | #834/4942 (83rd pct)
TFL 7.0 Backfield disruption | #277/4972 (94th pct)
Sacks 6.5 Pass-rush finish | #55/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
42 83rd
SOLO
21 79th
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
6.5 99th
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3W 34-15vs Texas State210.00.00
Wk 4W 27-24@ Baylor110.00.00
Wk 5W 27-24vs TCU110.00.00
Wk 7L 10-42@ Utah220.00.00
Wk 8W 26-22vs Texas Tech310.00.00
Wk 9L 16-24vs Houston621.01.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 10W 24-19@ Iowa State541.01.01
Wk 12W 25-23vs West Virginia511.01.00
Wk 13W 42-17@ Colorado552.02.002 sacks
Wk 14L 7-23vs Arizona631.01.01
BowlL 39-42@ Duke601.00.50
Total42217.06.52
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Cincinnati13-0HC: Luke Fickell · Run-leaning
2022Cincinnati9-4HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
2023Cincinnati3-9HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning
2025Arizona State8-5HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arizona State42217.06.52----
2023Cincinnati1341.51.01----
2022Cincinnati28144.53.01----
2021Cincinnati221.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons854114.010.54----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 42 #834/4942 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.0 #277/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 6.5 #55/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 21 #959/4584 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.80.50.50.2
Road5g3.80.80.70.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g3.10.60.60.1
Losses4g5.00.80.60.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.40.20.10.0
Weeks 8+6g5.01.01.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

83All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (97th). Strength: qb hurries (92nd).

Sacks#55 / 2975 · 98th pct
6.5defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Tackles for loss#277 / 2975 · 90th pct
7.0defe
Tackles#834 / 2975 · 71st pct
42defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#959 / 2975 · 67th pct
21defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Justin WodtlyArizona StateJohn MillerUtah State· 83% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 83% simRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 83% sim
Sacks
98
Wodtly
99
Miller
97
Harris
95
Biles
QB hurries
92
Wodtly
98
Miller
97
Harris
88
Biles
Tackles for loss
90
Wodtly
96
Miller
91
Harris
100
Biles
Tackles
71
Wodtly
99
Miller
99
Harris
98
Biles
Passes defended
67
Wodtly
78
Miller
67
Harris
86
Biles
Solo tackles
67
Wodtly
92
Miller
98
Harris
91
Biles

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamie Sheriff’s 2022 season.

Jamie Sheriff

90%match

South Alabama · 2022

#2

Kellan Wyatt

Maryland · 2023

85%
#3

C.J. McCray

Virginia Tech · 2023

83%
#4

Brayden Manley

Georgia Tech · 2025

83%
#5

Antoine Baylis

Louisiana · 2023

82%

Matches Jamie on

Weight
TFL rate
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Elijah Alston's graduate season at Miami (2024).

Elijah Alston

87%match

Miami · 2024

All-Sun Belt
#2

MJ Sherman

Nebraska · 2024

77%
#3

D'Andre Ragin

Toledo · 2024

76%
#4

Adin Huntington

Tulane · 2024

All-AAC
75%
#5

Tyson Lee

Western Michigan · 2025

74%

Matches Elijah on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kenny Dillingham

Pass share

47.1%

429 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

345 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2022
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2023
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
era →
2025
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State

Coaching transition mid-career: Herm Edwards → Kenny Dillingham. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCleveland, OH
Height6'2"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey95

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona State DL4 #9562 #9187 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Cincinnati DL4 #12140 #12626 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Cincinnati DL4 #6853 #7274 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 Cincinnati DL4 #3862 #3458 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arizona State Big 12 DL 4 No. 95 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Cleveland, OH
2024 Arizona State Big 12 DL 4 No. 95 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Cleveland, OH
2023 Cincinnati Big 12 DL 4 No. 95 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Cleveland, OH
2022 Cincinnati American Athletic DL 4 No. 95 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Cleveland, OH
2021 Cincinnati American Athletic DL 4 No. 95 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Cleveland, OH