Regular season ·

Minnesota beat Penn State

No. 5 Penn State8-126
No. 13 Minnesota9-031Final
Sat, Nov 9 · TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minn. · Crowd 51,883 · 40°, cloudyABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 13 Minnesota beat No. 5 Penn State by 5 points.

How the game turned

Minnesota aheadPenn State aheadBiggest swingLow: 27%
1234

Q4 14:11 Minnesota 31, Penn State 19

Minnesota 89% to win

Green 1-yd TD run, Minnesota leads 31-19

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:06 · Minnesota 7, Penn State 0Minnesota's win chance rose from 35% to 47%.Morgan 66-yd TD pass to Bateman, Minnesota goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 4:29 · Minnesota 14, Penn State 7Minnesota's win chance rose from 46% to 54%.Morgan 21-yd TD pass to Autman-Bell, Minnesota goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 7:18 · Minnesota 21, Penn State 10Minnesota's win chance rose from 54% to 65%.Morgan 38-yd TD pass to Johnson, Minnesota leads 21-10
  4. 4Q4 14:11 · Minnesota 31, Penn State 19Minnesota's win chance rose from 69% to 89%.Green 1-yd TD run, Minnesota leads 31-19

Minnesota's lowest chance to win was 27 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 14:11 left in the 4th quarter, Minnesota's chance to win went from 69 percent to 89 percent when Minnesota scored a touchdown.

The score went from Minnesota 24, Penn State 19 to Minnesota 31, Penn State 19.

The play: Green 1-yd TD run, Minnesota leads 31-19.

What happened next

  1. Minnesota's next game: L 19-23 at Iowa, Nov 16

    7 days later

  2. Penn State's next game: W 34-27 vs Indiana, Nov 16

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 9, 2019: Penn State 45, Minnesota 17, Oct 22, 2022

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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