The Zeitgeist List · coordinators · never a head coach

Jeff Knowles.

Defensive coordinator · 6 seasons · 3 stints · 3 programs0 seasons ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Defense−0.13#324 of 458 · a typical amount

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis defense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year 3Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=659n=400n=218median still in the jobnot a pathNorthern Illinois, year 1: 78th percentileNorthern IllinoisTemple, year 1: 67th percentileTemple, year 2: 17th percentileTemple, year 3: 18th percentileTempleBall State, year 1: 6th percentileBall State, year 2: 51st percentileBall State
Northern Illinois 2018–2018
Temple 2019–2021
Ball State 2024–2026
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Temple, 3 years
−49.2
67.3 to 18.1 percentile.
Ball State, 3 years
+45.5
5.6 to 51.1 percentile.
Median defensive coordinator
+1.0
first season to last, across 239 stints of 3+ years. 52.3% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2018–2018Northern Illinois85.878.178.1+32.6
2019–2021Temple65.867.367.3−13.2
2024–2026Ball State80.15.651.1−10.2

Northern Illinois 2018–2018: ranked 86th the year before he arrived, 78th at its best — went backwards.

Ball State 2024–2026: ranked 80th the year before he arrived, 51st at its best — went backwards.

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