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FBS Independents

The Last Independent

As CFP selection increasingly rewards conference championship résumés, can Notre Dame build a schedule strong enough to earn a top-4 seed on merit alone, or does the bracket math eventually force the decision that 135 years of tradition has refused to make?

FBS Independents is a very small affiliation group this season, so its strength is shown with extra regression instead of being treated like a full league ecosystem.

#3overall
#3in FBS
+9.4RR50
+15.7upper strength
2teams
1top-25 teams

FBS Independents, at a glance.

Top 10 by power rating — last season final records.

Team Power Record RR50
1 Notre Dame
0-0 +23.1
2 UConn
0-0 +6.3
Power snapshot Projected 2026 standing

The Last Independent

Notre Dame is the reason independent football still exists at FBS level. The Irish have refused conference membership for 135+ years, hold a media partnership with the ACC, and reached the national championship game as the #3 seed in the 2025 CFP — beating a conference champion in the semifinals while playing zero conference games. BYU, Army, and most other long-time independents eventually joined conferences. Notre Dame remains the exception that defines the category, and every structural pressure on the format is ultimately a pressure on one program.

1 top-25 team.

The depth argument for this conference rests on how many credible opponents are clustered behind the leader. A wide talent spread separates the haves from the have-nots.

The question heading into 2026.

As CFP selection increasingly rewards conference championship résumés, can Notre Dame build a schedule strong enough to earn a top-4 seed on merit alone, or does the bracket math eventually force the decision that 135 years of tradition has refused to make?

Tools Matchup Simulator Compare Teams Playoff Forecast Style map Head to head Power map

Notre Dame Went to the Title Game. Again.

Notre Dame reached the CFP national championship game in January 2026 as a #3 seed without playing a single conference game. They beat a Power Four conference champion in the semifinals. The argument that independence is structurally disadvantaged broke against the reality that Notre Dame keeps making the bracket. Marcus Freeman enters 2026 with the most talented roster in South Bend since the 2012 title run.

Why it matters →

Can They Build the Same Case in 2026?

Notre Dame's 2026 schedule includes three games against Power Four opponents in the first five weeks. The committee has shown it will reward the Irish for strength of schedule when the record is clean. But one loss in September — to a team ranked 15th, not 5th — ends the top-4 conversation. The margin for error in the independent model is zero.

135 Years of Saying No

Every major independent since 1990 has eventually joined a conference. Penn State in 1993. Florida State in 1992. Miami in 2004. Arkansas went back to the SEC. BYU joined the Big 12. Army joined the AAC. Notre Dame has refused every time, for 135 years, and keeps succeeding. The structural pressure is real. The program's identity is built on resisting it. That tension is college football's longest-running story.

Active arcs our read

All arcs →
Fan pulse Last 30 days · 1,617 mentions
13% positive 50% neutral 37% negative
Notre Dame
1,550
↓ negative
UConn
67
↓ negative

Win projection

Projection will be available when the 2026 schedule is released.

How they play

Six advanced-stat dimensions per team, ranked against all 134 FBS programs, 2025 season. Every column reads higher-is-better. Click a column to sort.

ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate
Team ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate Identity
Notre Dame+0.3446.3%+1.52-0.0361.743.5%Big-play offense
UConn+0.3145.9%+1.35-0.2065.652.9%Balanced

Identity is the single dimension where a team is most above or below the FBS average (pace, defense, big plays, or converting drives) — "Balanced" means nothing stands out either way. CFBD 2025 advanced stats, excludes garbage time.

Top players

FBS Independents's highest CFB Index Scores, 2025 season.

#PlayerTeamNational
1Bryun ParhamLBUConn#2 of 583
2Leonard MooreCBNotre Dame#11 of 364
3Cam ChadwickSUConn#30 of 544
4Oumar DiomandeLBUConn#45 of 583
5Malachi McLeanSUConn#37 of 544
6Camryn EdwardsRBUConn#19 of 326
7Christian GrayCBNotre Dame#51 of 364
8Tae JohnsonSNotre Dame#67 of 544
9Joe FagnanoQBUConn#22 of 146
10Antoineo Harris Jr.IDLUConn#60 of 330

Where FBS Independents stands nationally

Conference strength by RR50 (round-robin adjusted power).

1 SEC SEC
+11.4
2 B10 Big Ten
+10.1
3 IND FBS Independents
+9.4
4 B12 Big 12
+8.3
5 ACC ACC
+8.2
6 P12 Pac-12
+5.3
7 AAC American Athletic
+5.3
8 MW Mountain West
+4.0
9 SB Sun Belt
+3.7
10 CUSA Conference USA
+3.6