Regular season ·

Florida beat LSU

No. 5 LSU5-119
No. 22 Florida5-127Final
Sat, Oct 6 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Fla. · Crowd 90,283 · 89°CBS

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 22 Florida beat No. 5 LSU by 8 points.

How the game turned

Florida aheadLSU aheadBiggest swing

Q4 11:14 Florida 14, LSU 19

Florida 23% to win

Brossette 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, LSU goes ahead 19-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:43 · Florida 0, LSU 7Florida's win chance fell from 36% to 29%.Brossette 4-yd TD run, LSU goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 3:10 · Florida 7, LSU 10Florida's win chance fell from 40% to 37%.Tracy 33-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 1:09 · Florida 14, LSU 10Florida's win chance rose from 47% to 57%.Franks 3-yd TD pass to Stephens, Florida goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q4 11:14 · Florida 14, LSU 19Florida's win chance fell from 54% to 23%.Brossette 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, LSU goes ahead 19-14
  5. 5Q4 8:48 · Florida 20, LSU 19Florida's win chance rose from 40% to 53%.Perine 2-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Florida goes ahead 20-19

Florida's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:14 left in the 4th quarter, LSU's chance to win went from 46 percent to 77 percent when LSU scored a touchdown.

The score went from Florida 14, LSU 13 to Florida 14, LSU 19.

The play: Brossette 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, LSU goes ahead 19-14.

What happened next

  1. LSU went from No. 5 to No. 13 in the next AP poll.

  2. Florida's next game: W 37-27 at Vanderbilt, Oct 13

    7 days later
  3. LSU's next game: W 36-16 vs Georgia, Oct 13

    7 days later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 6, 2018: LSU 42, Florida 28, Oct 12, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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