Regular season ·

Notre Dame beat USC

USC3-327
No. 9 Notre Dame5-130Final
Sat, Oct 12 · Notre Dame Stadium · Crowd 77,622 · 51°NBC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 9 Notre Dame beat USC by 3 points.

How the game turned

Notre Dame aheadUSC aheadBiggest swing
123

Q4 10:27 Notre Dame 23, USC 20

Notre Dame 73% to win

Slovis 5-yd TD pass to Vaughns, cuts it to 23-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 2:13 · Notre Dame 0, USC 3Notre Dame's win chance fell from 66% to 65%.McGrath 40-yd field goal, USC goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 8:37 · Notre Dame 7, USC 3Notre Dame's win chance rose from 71% to 77%.Book 10-yd TD pass to Kmet, Notre Dame goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q4 10:27 · Notre Dame 23, USC 20Notre Dame's win chance fell from 90% to 73%.Slovis 5-yd TD pass to Vaughns, cuts it to 23-20

Notre Dame was never below a 55 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 10:27 left in the 4th quarter, USC's chance to win went from 10 percent to 27 percent when USC scored a touchdown.

The score went from Notre Dame 23, USC 13 to Notre Dame 23, USC 20.

The play: Slovis 5-yd TD pass to Vaughns, cuts it to 23-20.

What happened next

  1. USC's next game: W 41-14 vs Arizona, Oct 19

    7 days later

  2. Notre Dame's next game: L 14-45 at Michigan, Oct 26

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 12, 2019: Notre Dame 31, USC 16, Oct 23, 2021

    about 2 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·