Regular season ·
Notre Dame beat Clemson
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Notre Dame had a 8 percent chance to win with 2:09 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 47-40 in 2 overtimes, November 7, 2020.
Notre Dame was No. 4 and Clemson No. 1 in the AP poll before the game.
How the game turned
Q4 3:33 Notre Dame 26, Clemson 33
Notre Dame 11% to win
Etienne 3-yd TD run, Clemson goes ahead 33-26
Big moments
- 1Q4 11:37 · Notre Dame 26, Clemson 23Notre Dame's win chance rose from 47% to 52%.Doerer 44-yd field goal, Notre Dame goes ahead 26-23
- 2Q4 3:33 · Notre Dame 26, Clemson 33Notre Dame's win chance fell from 39% to 11%.Etienne 3-yd TD run, Clemson goes ahead 33-26
- 3OT1 · Notre Dame 33, Clemson 40Notre Dame's win chance fell from 30% to 24%.Uiagalelei 1-yd TD run
- 4OT1 · Notre Dame 40, Clemson 40Notre Dame's win chance rose from 26% to 45%.Williams 3-yd TD run, ties it 40-40
- 5OT2 · Notre Dame 47, Clemson 40Williams 3-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 47-40
Notre Dame's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:33 left in the 4th quarter, Clemson's chance to win went from 61 percent to 89 percent when Clemson scored a touchdown.
The score went from Notre Dame 26, Clemson 26 to Notre Dame 26, Clemson 33.
The play: Etienne 3-yd TD run, Clemson goes ahead 33-26.
It was Notre Dame's first win over Clemson since the 1977 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Notre Dame's next game: W 45-31 at Boston College, Nov 14
7 days laterClemson's next game: W 52-17 vs Pittsburgh, Nov 28
21 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 7, 2020: Clemson 34, Notre Dame 10, Dec 19, 2020
42 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.