Regular season ·

Missouri beat LSU

Missouri1-245
No. 17 LSU1-241Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, La. · Crowd 10,013 · 78°, overcastESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Missouri beat No. 17 LSU by 4 points.

LSU was No. 17 in the AP poll before the game; Missouri was not ranked.

How the game turned

Missouri aheadLSU aheadBiggest swing
1234567

Q4 5:18 Missouri 45, LSU 41

Missouri 82% to win

Bazelak 5-yd TD pass to Hea, Missouri goes ahead 45-41

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:07 · Missouri 7, LSU 0Missouri's win chance rose from 78% to 90%.Bazelak 58-yd TD pass to Dove, Missouri goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 3:45 · Missouri 7, LSU 14Missouri's win chance fell from 69% to 66%.Brennan 2-yd TD pass to Marshall, LSU goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 14:41 · Missouri 14, LSU 21Missouri's win chance fell from 83% to 66%.Brennan 25-yd TD pass to Gilbert, LSU goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q3 12:25 · Missouri 24, LSU 31Missouri's win chance fell from 67% to 54%.Davis-Price 1-yd TD run, LSU goes ahead 31-24
  5. 5Q3 10:36 · Missouri 31, LSU 38Missouri's win chance fell from 72% to 51%.Brennan 75-yd TD pass to Marshall, LSU goes ahead 38-31
  6. 6Q3 0:00 · Missouri 38, LSU 41Missouri's win chance fell from 63% to 57%.York 51-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 41-38
  7. 7Q4 5:18 · Missouri 45, LSU 41Missouri's win chance rose from 56% to 82%.Bazelak 5-yd TD pass to Hea, Missouri goes ahead 45-41

Missouri's lowest chance to win was 25 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 5:18 left in the 4th quarter, Missouri's chance to win went from 55 percent to 82 percent when Missouri scored a touchdown.

The score went from Missouri 38, LSU 41 to Missouri 45, LSU 41.

The play: Bazelak 5-yd TD pass to Hea, Missouri goes ahead 45-41.

What happened next

  1. Missouri's next game: W 20-10 vs Kentucky, Oct 24

    14 days later

  2. LSU's next game: W 52-24 vs South Carolina, Oct 24

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 10, 2020: LSU 49, Missouri 39, Oct 7, 2023

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·