Regular season ·

Kentucky beat Florida

No. 10 Florida3-213
Kentucky5-020Final
Sat, Oct 2 · Kroger Field, Lexington, Ky. · Crowd 61,632 · 76°, overcastESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Kentucky beat No. 10 Florida by 7 points.

Florida was No. 10 in the AP poll before the game; Kentucky was not ranked.

How the game turned

Kentucky aheadFlorida aheadBiggest swing

Q3 6:36 Kentucky 13, Florida 10

Kentucky 47% to win

Wallace TD return of a blocked field goal, Kentucky goes ahead 13-10

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:57 · Kentucky 0, Florida 7Kentucky's win chance fell from 28% to 19%.Jones 7-yd TD pass to Fraziars, Florida goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 (no clock) · Kentucky 7, Florida 10Kentucky's win chance fell from 33% to 30%.Christmann 51-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q3 6:36 · Kentucky 13, Florida 10Kentucky's win chance rose from 25% to 47%.Wallace TD return of a blocked field goal, Kentucky goes ahead 13-10
  4. 4Q4 11:32 · Kentucky 20, Florida 10Kentucky's win chance rose from 72% to 82%.Rodriguez 9-yd TD run, Kentucky leads 20-10

Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:36 left in the 3rd quarter, Kentucky's chance to win went from 25 percent to 47 percent when Kentucky scored a touchdown.

The score went from Kentucky 7, Florida 10 to Kentucky 13, Florida 10.

The play: Wallace TD return of a blocked field goal, Kentucky goes ahead 13-10.

What happened next

  1. Florida went from No. 10 to No. 20 in the next AP poll.

  2. Kentucky's next game: W 42-21 vs LSU, Oct 9

    7 days later
  3. Florida's next game: W 42-0 vs Vanderbilt, Oct 9

    7 days later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 2, 2021: Kentucky 26, Florida 16, Sep 10, 2022

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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