Regular season ·

Stanford beat USC

Stanford1-142
No. 14 USC1-128Final
Sat, Sep 11 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Crowd 56,945 · 76°, clearFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Stanford beat No. 14 USC by 14 points.

USC was No. 14 in the AP poll before the game; Stanford was not ranked.

How the game turned

Stanford aheadUSC aheadBiggest swingLow: 12%

Q3 5:02 Stanford 28, USC 13

Stanford 87% to win

Kelly interception return TD, Stanford leads 28-13

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:04 · Stanford 7, USC 0Stanford's win chance rose from 17% to 24%.Peat 87-yd TD run, Stanford goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 5:02 · Stanford 28, USC 13Stanford's win chance rose from 58% to 87%.Kelly interception return TD, Stanford leads 28-13

Stanford's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 5:02 left in the 3rd quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 58 percent to 87 percent when Stanford scored a touchdown.

The score went from Stanford 21, USC 13 to Stanford 28, USC 13.

The play: Kelly interception return TD, Stanford leads 28-13.

What happened next

  1. USC was No. 14 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. Stanford's next game: W 41-23 at Vanderbilt, Sep 18

    7 days later
  3. USC's next game: W 45-14 at Washington State, Sep 18

    7 days later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Sep 11, 2021: USC 41, Stanford 28, Sep 10, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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