Regular season ·
Stanford beat Notre Dame
Records are after this game.
Stanford beat Notre Dame by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 10:20 Stanford 16, Notre Dame 14
Stanford 45% to win
Karty 43-yd field goal, Stanford goes ahead 16-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:05 · Stanford 7, Notre Dame 0Stanford's win chance rose from 23% to 25%.Filkins 2-yd TD run, Stanford goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 (no clock) · Stanford 7, Notre Dame 0Stanford's win chance fell from 50% to 37%.McKee incomplete, turnover on downs
- 3Q3 6:22 · Stanford 13, Notre Dame 7Stanford's win chance fell from 72% to 54%.Estime 10-yd TD run, cuts it to 13-7
- 4Q4 14:53 · Stanford 13, Notre Dame 14Stanford's win chance fell from 47% to 29%.Pyne 41-yd TD pass to Merriweather, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-13
- 5Q4 10:20 · Stanford 16, Notre Dame 14Stanford's win chance rose from 24% to 45%.Karty 43-yd field goal, Stanford goes ahead 16-14
Stanford's lowest chance to win was 13 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 10:20 left in the 4th quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 24 percent to 44 percent when Stanford kicked a field goal.
The score went from Stanford 13, Notre Dame 14 to Stanford 16, Notre Dame 14.
The play: Karty 43-yd field goal, Stanford goes ahead 16-14.
It was Stanford's first win over Notre Dame since the 2017 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Stanford's next game: W 15-14 vs Arizona State, Oct 22
7 days laterNotre Dame's next game: W 44-21 vs UNLV, Oct 22
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2022: Notre Dame 56, Stanford 23, Nov 25, 2023
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.