Regular season ·
Utah beat USC
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Utah had a 7 percent chance to win with 4:54 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 43-42, October 15, 2022.
Utah was No. 20 and USC No. 7 in the AP poll before the game.
How the game turned
Q4 0:48 Utah 43, USC 42
Utah 59% to win
Rising 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, Utah goes ahead 43-42
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:16 · Utah 0, USC 7Utah's win chance fell from 45% to 41%.Dye 8-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 11:02 · Utah 28, USC 35Utah's win chance fell from 38% to 28%.Williams 11-yd TD pass to Falo, USC goes ahead 35-28
- 3Q4 10:55 · Utah 35, USC 35Utah's win chance rose from 24% to 57%.Rising 1-yd TD run, ties it 35-35
- 4Q4 6:15 · Utah 35, USC 42Utah's win chance fell from 43% to 15%.Williams 20-yd TD pass to Jackson, USC goes ahead 42-35
- 5Q4 0:48 · Utah 43, USC 42Utah's win chance rose from 17% to 59%.Rising 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, Utah goes ahead 43-42
Utah's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:48 left in the 4th quarter, Utah's chance to win went from 17 percent to 59 percent when Utah scored a touchdown.
The score went from Utah 35, USC 42 to Utah 43, USC 42.
The play: Rising 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, Utah goes ahead 43-42.
What happened next
Utah's next game: W 21-17 at Washington State, Oct 27
12 days laterUSC's next game: W 45-37 at Arizona, Oct 29
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2022: Utah 47, USC 24, Dec 2, 2022
48 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.