Regular season ·

Michigan beat Penn State

No. 10 Penn State5-117
No. 5 Michigan7-041Final
Sat, Oct 15 · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Mich. · Crowd 110,812 · 51°, cloudyFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 5 Michigan beat No. 10 Penn State by 24 points.

How the game turned

Michigan aheadPenn State aheadBiggest swing

Q3 11:12 Michigan 24, Penn State 17

Michigan 78% to win

Edwards 67-yd TD run, two-point try good, Michigan goes ahead 24-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:43 · Michigan 3, Penn State 0Moody 29-yd field goal, Michigan goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 4:27 · Michigan 13, Penn State 14Michigan's win chance fell from 88% to 63%.Jacobs interception return TD, Penn State goes ahead 14-13
  3. 3Q2 0:02 · Michigan 16, Penn State 14Moody 23-yd field goal, Michigan goes ahead 16-14
  4. 4Q3 13:15 · Michigan 16, Penn State 17Pinegar 27-yd field goal, Penn State goes ahead 17-16
  5. 5Q3 11:12 · Michigan 24, Penn State 17Michigan's win chance rose from 52% to 78%.Edwards 67-yd TD run, two-point try good, Michigan goes ahead 24-17

Michigan's lowest chance to win was 50 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:12 left in the 3rd quarter, Michigan's chance to win went from 52 percent to 78 percent when Michigan scored a touchdown.

The score went from Michigan 16, Penn State 17 to Michigan 24, Penn State 17.

The play: Edwards 67-yd TD run, two-point try good, Michigan goes ahead 24-17.

What happened next

  1. Penn State's next game: W 45-17 vs Minnesota, Oct 22

    7 days later
  2. Michigan's next game: W 29-7 vs Michigan State, Oct 29

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2022: Michigan 24, Penn State 15, Nov 11, 2023

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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