Regular season ·

Pittsburgh beat West Virginia

West Virginia0-131
No. 17 Pittsburgh1-038Final
Thu, Sep 1 · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pa. · Crowd 70,622 · 77°, fairESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Pittsburgh had a 10 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 38-31, September 1, 2022.

How the game turned

Pittsburgh aheadWest Virginia aheadBiggest swing
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Q4 2:58 Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 31

Pittsburgh 87% to win

Devonshire return TD, Pittsburgh goes ahead 38-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 0:37 · Pittsburgh 3, West Virginia 0Sauls 42-yd field goal, Pittsburgh goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 12:45 · Pittsburgh 3, West Virginia 7Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 64% to 54%.Daniels 10-yd TD pass to Ford-Wheaton, West Virginia goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 3:23 · Pittsburgh 10, West Virginia 7Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 57% to 67%.Hammond 4-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q3 13:08 · Pittsburgh 10, West Virginia 17Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 38% to 36%.Donaldson 5-yd TD run, West Virginia goes ahead 17-10
  5. 5Q3 3:42 · Pittsburgh 24, West Virginia 17Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 64% to 86%.Hammond 11-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 24-17
  6. 6Q4 10:37 · Pittsburgh 24, West Virginia 31Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 55% to 19%.Daniels 1-yd TD run, West Virginia goes ahead 31-24
  7. 7Q4 3:41 · Pittsburgh 31, West Virginia 31Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 22% to 47%.Slovis 24-yd TD pass to Abanikanda, ties it 31-31
  8. 8Q4 2:58 · Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 31Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 47% to 87%.Devonshire return TD, Pittsburgh goes ahead 38-31

Pittsburgh's lowest chance to win was 10 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 2:58 left in the 4th quarter, Pittsburgh's chance to win went from 46 percent to 87 percent when Pittsburgh scored a touchdown.

The score went from Pittsburgh 31, West Virginia 31 to Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 31.

The play: Devonshire return TD, Pittsburgh goes ahead 38-31.

It was Pittsburgh's first win over West Virginia since the 2008 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Pittsburgh's next game: L 27-34 vs Tennessee, Sep 10

    9 days later

  2. West Virginia's next game: L 42-55 vs Kansas, Sep 10

    9 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 1, 2022: West Virginia 17, Pittsburgh 6, Sep 16, 2023

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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