Modelo Vegas Kickoff Classic ·
Modelo Vegas Kickoff Classic
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 23 USC beat No. 13 LSU by 7 points, the Modelo Vegas Kickoff Classic.
It was played at a neutral site: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV.
How the game turned
Q4 0:08 USC 27, LSU 20
USC 84% to win
Marks 13-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 27-20
Big moments
- 1Q2 11:00 · USC 7, LSU 0USC's win chance rose from 49% to 59%.Marks 2-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 4:21 · USC 10, LSU 7Lantz 22-yd field goal, USC goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 7:13 · USC 13, LSU 10USC's win chance rose from 53% to 58%.Lantz 35-yd field goal, USC goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q3 (no clock) · USC 13, LSU 17USC's win chance fell from 50% to 30%.Nussmeier 13-yd TD pass to Anderson, LSU goes ahead 17-13
- 5Q4 5:44 · USC 20, LSU 17USC's win chance rose from 30% to 61%.Moss 28-yd TD pass to Lane, USC goes ahead 20-17
- 6Q4 1:47 · USC 20, LSU 20USC's win chance fell from 49% to 46%.Ramos 31-yd field goal, ties it 20-20
- 7Q4 0:08 · USC 27, LSU 20USC's win chance rose from 42% to 84%.Marks 13-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 27-20
USC's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:08 left in the 4th quarter, USC's chance to win went from 42 percent to 84 percent when USC scored a touchdown.
The score went from USC 20, LSU 20 to USC 27, LSU 20.
The play: Marks 13-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 27-20.
What happened next
USC went from No. 23 to No. 13 in the next AP poll.
USC's next game: W 48-0 vs Utah State, Sep 7
6 days laterLSU's next game: W 44-21 vs Nicholls, Sep 7
6 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.