Regular season ·

Washington beat Michigan

No. 10 Michigan4-217
Washington4-227Final
Sat, Oct 5 · Husky Stadium, Seattle, Wash. · Crowd 72,132 · 63°, cloudyNBC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Washington beat No. 10 Michigan by 10 points.

Michigan was No. 10 in the AP poll before the game; Washington was not ranked.

How the game turned

Washington aheadMichigan aheadBiggest swingLow: 31%

Q4 6:22 Washington 24, Michigan 17

Washington 86% to win

Coleman 1-yd TD run, Washington goes ahead 24-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 2:38 · Washington 7, Michigan 0Washington's win chance rose from 52% to 64%.Rogers 3-yd TD pass to Boston, Washington goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:00 · Washington 14, Michigan 10Washington's win chance fell from 80% to 60%.Gross 28-yd field goal blocked
  3. 3Q3 8:38 · Washington 14, Michigan 17Washington's win chance fell from 52% to 40%.Tuttle 8-yd TD pass to Loveland, Michigan goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q4 13:38 · Washington 17, Michigan 17Gross 28-yd field goal, ties it 17-17
  5. 5Q4 6:22 · Washington 24, Michigan 17Washington's win chance rose from 55% to 86%.Coleman 1-yd TD run, Washington goes ahead 24-17

Washington's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:22 left in the 4th quarter, Washington's chance to win went from 55 percent to 86 percent when Washington scored a touchdown.

The score went from Washington 17, Michigan 17 to Washington 24, Michigan 17.

The play: Coleman 1-yd TD run, Washington goes ahead 24-17.

It was Washington's first win over Michigan since the 2001 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Washington's next game: L 16-40 at Iowa, Oct 12

    7 days later
  2. Michigan's next game: L 7-21 at Illinois, Oct 19

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 5, 2024: Michigan 24, Washington 7, Oct 18, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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