Regular season ·

Pittsburgh beat West Virginia

West Virginia1-234
Pittsburgh3-038Final
Sat, Sep 14 · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pa. · Crowd 66,087 · 88°, fairESPN2

Records are after this game.

Pittsburgh had a 6 percent chance to win with 4:55 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 38-34, September 14, 2024.

How the game turned

Pittsburgh aheadWest Virginia aheadBiggest swing
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Q4 0:32 Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 34

Pittsburgh 73% to win

Davis 1-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 38-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:58 · Pittsburgh 0, West Virginia 7Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 41% to 28%.Greene 10-yd TD pass to Donaldson, West Virginia goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 0:30 · Pittsburgh 10, West Virginia 7Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 42% to 49%.Holstein 9-yd TD pass to Reid, Pittsburgh goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 11:54 · Pittsburgh 10, West Virginia 14Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 48% to 35%.White 5-yd TD run, West Virginia goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q2 7:01 · Pittsburgh 17, West Virginia 14Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 38% to 47%.Holstein 19-yd TD pass to Reid, Pittsburgh goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q3 8:27 · Pittsburgh 24, West Virginia 17Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 50% to 70%.George TD return of a blocked punt, Pittsburgh goes ahead 24-17
  6. 6Q4 11:19 · Pittsburgh 24, West Virginia 27Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 45% to 30%.Hayes 23-yd field goal, West Virginia goes ahead 27-24
  7. 7Q4 0:32 · Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 34Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 48% to 73%.Davis 1-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 38-34

Pittsburgh's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:32 left in the 4th quarter, Pittsburgh's chance to win went from 48 percent to 73 percent when Pittsburgh scored a touchdown.

The score went from Pittsburgh 31, West Virginia 34 to Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 34.

The play: Davis 1-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 38-34.

What happened next

  1. Pittsburgh's next game: W 73-17 vs Youngstown State, Sep 21

    7 days later

  2. West Virginia's next game: W 32-28 vs Kansas, Sep 21

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 14, 2024: West Virginia 31, Pittsburgh 24, Sep 13, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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