Regular season ·
Rice beat UTSA
Records are after this game.
Rice beat UTSA by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:04 Rice 29, UTSA 27
Rice 99% to win
Warner 18-yd TD pass to Sykes (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Big moments
- 1Q2 6:30 · Rice 0, UTSA 3Sandell 45-yd field goal, UTSA goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 4:57 · Rice 6, UTSA 3Rice's win chance rose from 35% to 44%.Warner 5-yd TD run (Two-Point Conversion failed)
- 3Q2 1:50 · Rice 6, UTSA 10Rice's win chance fell from 43% to 29%.McCown 20-yd TD pass to Allen, UTSA goes ahead 10-6
- 4Q3 13:35 · Rice 17, UTSA 10Rice's win chance rose from 34% to 56%.Warner 69-yd TD pass to Connors (D. Connors Run For Two-point Conversion)
- 5Q4 2:06 · Rice 23, UTSA 27Rice's win chance fell from 58% to 25%.McCown 38-yd TD pass to Thomas, UTSA goes ahead 27-23
- 6Q4 0:04 · Rice 29, UTSA 27Rice's win chance rose from 27% to 99%.Warner 18-yd TD pass to Sykes (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Rice's lowest chance to win was 18 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:04 left in the 4th quarter, Rice's chance to win went from 27 percent to 99 percent when Rice scored a touchdown.
The score went from Rice 23, UTSA 27 to Rice 29, UTSA 27.
It was Rice's first win over UTSA since the 2014 season, after 8 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Rice's next game: L 10-24 at Tulane, Oct 19
7 days laterUTSA's next game: W 38-24 vs Florida Atlantic, Oct 19
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 12, 2024: UTSA 61, Rice 13, Oct 11, 2025
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.